Bill Singer - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Bill Singer
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1964
LAN
-0.1
-0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.4
1965
LAN
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.0
1966
LAN
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
1967
LAN
-1.1
-0.0
2.3
-0.0
1.2
1968
LAN
-0.5
0.4
-1.9
0.1
-1.9
1969
LAN
-1.2
0.1
5.1
-0.0
4.0
1970
LAN
-0.2
-0.1
1.1
-0.0
0.8
1971
LAN
-1.1
-0.0
-1.2
0.1
-2.3
1972
LAN
-1.4
0.0
-1.0
-0.0
-2.5
1973
CAL
0.0
0.0
3.8
-0.2
3.6
1974
CAL
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.1
0.6
1975
CAL
0.0
0.0
-3.1
0.1
-3.0
+
–
1976
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.1
MIN
0.0
0.0
-0.6
-0.2
-0.7
TEX
0.0
0.0
0.8
0.0
0.9
1977
TOR
0.0
0.0
-1.8
-0.0
-1.8
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-5.6
0.3
3.9
-0.2
-1.5
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1964
LAN
0.0
-0.4
0.1
-0.3
1965
LAN
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
1966
LAN
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
1967
LAN
0.8
2.0
1.5
3.6
1968
LAN
0.8
-1.0
2.0
1.0
1969
LAN
1.3
5.3
2.1
7.4
1970
LAN
0.5
1.3
0.8
2.1
1971
LAN
1.0
-1.3
1.6
0.3
1972
LAN
0.9
-1.6
1.3
-0.3
1973
CAL
0.2
3.8
2.3
6.1
1974
CAL
0.1
0.7
0.7
1.4
1975
CAL
0.1
-3.0
1.4
-1.5
+
–
1976
0.1
0.2
1.6
1.9
MIN
-0.6
-0.6
1.2
0.6
TEX
0.9
0.9
0.4
1.3
1977
TOR
0.0
-1.8
0.6
-1.2
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
5.9
4.4
16.2
20.6
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1964
LAN
2
0.6
0.0
-
0.0
1965
LAN
2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
1966
LAN
3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
1967
LAN
34
12.8
3.1
1.6
5.6
1968
LAN
37
16.4
1.8
0.3
2.1
1969
LAN
41
19.3
7.1
4.9
14.4
1970
LAN
16
7.0
1.8
1.0
3.2
1971
LAN
31
12.8
0.3
-
0.3
1972
LAN
26
10.4
0.9
0.3
1.3
1973
CAL
40
19.7
6.0
3.7
11.5
1974
CAL
14
5.7
1.5
0.8
2.6
1975
CAL
29
10.1
0.3
-
0.3
+
–
1976
36
12.7
1.6
0.4
2.2
MIN
26
9.3
0.7
-
0.7
TEX
10
3.4
0.9
0.4
1.5
1977
TOR
13
3.8
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
324
131.5
24.3
13.0
43.8
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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