Justin Speier - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Justin Speier
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
+
1998
0.0
0.0
-0.7
-0.0
-0.7
CHN
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
FLO
0.0
0.0
-0.7
-0.0
-0.7
1999
ATL
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2000
CLE
0.0
-0.0
0.3
-0.0
0.3
+
2001
-0.1
-0.0
0.3
0.0
0.2
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
COL
-0.1
-0.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
2002
COL
-0.0
-0.0
0.5
-0.0
0.4
2003
COL
-0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
2004
TOR
-0.0
-0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.1
2005
TOR
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.6
2006
TOR
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.4
2007
ANA
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
2008
ANA
0.0
0.0
-0.6
0.0
-0.6
2009
ANA
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.1
-0.0
1.2
0.1
1.1
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
+
1998
-0.1
-0.8
0.2
-0.6
CHN
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
FLO
-0.8
-0.8
0.2
-0.6
1999
ATL
-0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
2000
CLE
-0.1
0.2
0.5
0.8
+
2001
-0.0
0.1
0.6
0.7
CLE
-0.3
-0.3
0.2
-0.2
COL
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.9
2002
COL
-0.1
0.4
0.6
1.0
2003
COL
-0.1
-0.0
0.8
0.8
2004
TOR
-0.1
0.0
0.7
0.8
2005
TOR
-0.1
0.5
0.5
1.0
2006
TOR
-0.1
0.3
0.7
1.0
2007
ANA
-0.1
0.6
0.5
1.1
2008
ANA
-0.1
-0.7
0.7
-0.0
2009
ANA
-0.1
-0.2
0.3
0.1
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.8
0.2
6.2
6.5
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
+
1998
19
0.7
0.0
-
0.0
CHN
1
0.0
0.0
-
0.0
FLO
18
0.7
-
-
0.0
1999
ATL
19
0.3
0.0
-
0.0
2000
CLE
47
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.7
+
2001
54
3.2
0.8
0.3
1.2
CLE
12
0.7
-
-
0.0
COL
42
2.5
0.8
0.3
1.2
2002
COL
63
3.4
1.2
0.6
2.0
2003
COL
72
4.3
1.1
0.4
1.7
2004
TOR
62
3.7
0.4
0.0
0.4
2005
TOR
65
2.7
0.7
0.2
1.1
2006
TOR
58
4.0
1.2
0.5
2.0
2007
ANA
51
3.1
1.5
1.0
3.1
2008
ANA
62
3.2
-
-
0.0
2009
ANA
41
1.7
0.3
0.1
0.3
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Career Totals
613
33.3
7.7
3.3
12.6
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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