Chris Tillman - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Chris Tillman - Decomposition of Value*

Positional Average (Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500 (1-Year) (9-Year) (Long-Run)

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Decomposition of eWORL
(Click here for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting Baserunning Pitching Fielding Total
20090.00.0-0.90.0-0.9
2010-0.10.0-1.00.1-1.0
20110.00.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
20120.00.00.30.00.3
2013-0.0-0.0-0.5-0.1-0.6
2014-0.0-0.00.3-0.20.2
2015-0.0-0.0-0.4-0.2-0.7
2016-0.1-0.00.10.00.1
20170.00.0-3.1-0.0-3.2
20180.00.0-2.10.0-2.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-0.2-0.0-7.5-0.3-8.1


Positional Replacement
Adjustments eWOPA Value eWORL
2009-0.2-1.10.6-0.5
2010-0.2-1.20.6-0.6
20110.0-0.10.60.5
20120.20.50.71.2
20130.1-0.61.61.1
20140.30.51.51.9
20150.1-0.61.50.9
20160.30.31.51.8
2017-0.5-3.70.9-2.7
2018-0.4-2.50.5-2.0
------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-0.3-8.310.01.6


Choose Weights for Uber-Statistic in Final Table

pWins vs. eWins

Wins vs. Wins over Average vs. Repl. Level vs. Star

Zero out negative values (y/n): WOPA:    WORL:    WO*:

By Position: C  1B  2B  3B  SS  LF  CF  RF 
DH  PH  PR  P Off.  SP  RP 

Weights for Postseason:   Wins    WOPA    WORL

Normalize seasons to games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)

Uber-Statistic
Games Wins WORL WOPA Key Stat
2009
12
3.7-
-
0.0
2010
11
3.4-
-
0.0
2011
13
4.10.3
-
0.3
2012
15
5.41.4
0.6
2.3
2013
33
12.02.1
0.8
3.3
2014
34
12.23.6
2.1
6.7
2015
31
10.71.2
-
1.2
2016
30
11.02.9
1.4
5.1
2017
24
4.6-
-
0.0
2018
7
2.0-
-
0.0
------ ------ ------ ------
Career Totals
210
69.211.4
5.0
18.9

Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.


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