Mike Timlin - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Mike Timlin - Decomposition of Value*

Positional Average (Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500 (1-Year) (9-Year) (Long-Run)

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Decomposition of pWORL
(Click here for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting Baserunning Pitching Fielding Total
19910.00.00.8-0.20.6
19920.00.0-0.40.0-0.4
19930.00.00.10.10.2
19940.00.00.0-0.00.0
19950.00.00.10.10.3
19960.00.01.20.01.2
+ 1997
0.00.00.2-0.00.2
19980.00.01.40.11.4
19990.00.01.1-0.20.9
+ 2000
0.00.0-0.60.1-0.4
2001-0.00.00.1-0.1-0.1
+ 2002
-0.2-0.0-0.6-0.0-0.8
20030.00.01.9-0.01.8
20040.00.01.10.01.1
20050.00.02.0-0.51.5
20060.00.00.50.10.6
20070.00.00.6-0.10.5
20080.00.0-0.80.0-0.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-0.2-0.08.6-0.77.8


Positional Replacement
Adjustments pWOPA Value pWORL
1991-0.10.41.01.5
1992-0.0-0.40.3-0.1
1993-0.10.20.40.6
1994-0.0-0.00.30.3
1995-0.10.20.50.8
1996-0.11.00.91.9
+ 1997
-0.10.10.80.8
1998-0.11.30.82.1
1999-0.10.80.81.6
+ 2000
-0.1-0.60.90.4
2001-0.1-0.20.70.5
+ 2002
-0.0-0.80.8-0.0
2003-0.11.70.82.5
2004-0.11.00.71.7
2005-0.11.40.92.2
2006-0.20.41.01.4
2007-0.10.40.30.7
2008-0.0-0.90.3-0.5
------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-1.86.012.318.3


Choose Weights for Uber-Statistic in Final Table

pWins vs. eWins

Wins vs. Wins over Average vs. Repl. Level vs. Star

Zero out negative values (y/n): WOPA:    WORL:    WO*:

By Position: C  1B  2B  3B  SS  LF  CF  RF 
DH  PH  PR  P Off.  SP  RP 

Weights for Postseason:   Wins    WOPA    WORL

Normalize seasons to games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)

Uber-Statistic
Games Wins WORL WOPA Key Stat
1991
63
6.82.1
1.0
3.5
1992
26
1.80.4
0.2
0.6
1993
54
2.50.5
0.2
0.8
1994
34
2.40.5
0.0
0.5
1995
31
3.61.2
0.6
2.1
1996
59
5.32.0
1.2
3.8
+ 1997
64
4.41.1
0.4
1.7
1998
70
5.22.2
1.3
4.2
1999
62
4.81.5
0.7
2.5
+ 2000
62
4.90.5
-
0.5
2001
67
3.50.6
0.1
0.7
+ 2002
72
4.10.6
0.1
0.7
2003
72
5.93.0
2.1
6.1
2004
76
4.81.5
0.7
2.5
2005
81
5.11.9
1.1
3.5
2006
68
5.21.1
0.2
1.4
2007
50
2.00.8
0.4
1.5
2008
47
1.50.0
-
0.0
------ ------ ------ ------
Career Totals
1,058
73.921.4
10.1
36.6

Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.


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