Bob Welch - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Bob Welch
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1978
LAN
-0.2
0.0
1.5
0.0
1.3
1979
LAN
-0.4
-0.0
-0.3
-0.2
-0.9
1980
LAN
-0.5
-0.1
0.4
0.1
-0.2
1981
LAN
-0.3
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.4
1982
LAN
-1.3
0.0
1.4
0.1
0.3
1983
LAN
-1.1
-0.0
1.8
-0.2
0.5
1984
LAN
-1.1
0.0
-0.2
0.1
-1.3
1985
LAN
-0.5
-0.0
0.5
0.1
0.1
1986
LAN
-1.0
-0.1
2.6
-0.1
1.5
1987
LAN
-0.8
0.0
1.7
0.4
1.3
1988
OAK
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.2
0.1
1989
OAK
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.1
0.5
1990
OAK
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
1991
OAK
0.0
-0.0
-2.4
0.0
-2.4
1992
OAK
0.0
0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.3
1993
OAK
0.0
0.0
-1.9
0.0
-1.8
1994
OAK
-0.0
0.0
-0.8
-0.1
-0.9
------
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-7.2
-0.2
4.9
0.3
-2.3
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1978
LAN
0.6
1.9
0.8
2.7
1979
LAN
0.2
-0.7
0.9
0.2
1980
LAN
1.1
1.0
1.5
2.4
1981
LAN
0.6
0.2
1.0
1.2
1982
LAN
1.6
2.0
1.7
3.6
1983
LAN
1.8
2.3
1.6
3.8
1984
LAN
0.8
-0.5
1.5
1.0
1985
LAN
1.0
1.1
1.2
2.3
1986
LAN
1.8
3.3
1.6
4.9
1987
LAN
1.9
3.2
1.7
4.9
1988
OAK
0.2
0.3
1.8
2.1
1989
OAK
0.3
0.8
1.6
2.4
1990
OAK
0.1
-0.2
1.7
1.5
1991
OAK
-0.5
-2.8
1.9
-0.9
1992
OAK
0.2
0.5
1.0
1.5
1993
OAK
-0.4
-2.2
1.4
-0.9
1994
OAK
-0.1
-1.0
0.7
-0.4
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
11.2
8.9
23.4
32.3
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1978
LAN
23
7.6
3.0
2.2
6.3
1979
LAN
25
5.6
0.1
-
0.1
1980
LAN
34
13.0
3.1
1.7
5.6
1981
LAN
23
12.7
3.3
1.8
6.1
1982
LAN
38
14.5
3.2
1.5
5.5
1983
LAN
31
14.1
3.4
1.8
6.2
1984
LAN
32
11.6
1.3
0.1
1.4
1985
LAN
25
10.9
3.7
2.5
7.5
1986
LAN
35
13.6
3.3
1.7
5.9
1987
LAN
38
15.3
5.1
3.4
10.2
1988
OAK
36
14.8
3.6
1.8
6.2
1989
OAK
33
13.5
3.7
2.0
6.7
1990
OAK
35
14.5
3.8
2.1
6.9
1991
OAK
36
13.6
0.6
-
0.6
1992
OAK
20
8.3
2.1
1.0
3.6
1993
OAK
30
8.9
-
-
0.0
1994
OAK
26
5.3
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
520
197.8
43.2
23.7
78.8
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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