Dave Koslo - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Dave Koslo
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1941
NY1
-0.1
-0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.2
1942
NY1
-0.2
0.0
-0.5
-0.1
-0.8
1943
-
-
-
-
-
-
1944
-
-
-
-
-
-
1945
-
-
-
-
-
-
1946
NY1
-1.1
-0.0
0.2
0.0
-0.9
1947
NY1
-0.7
-0.0
-0.5
0.2
-0.9
1948
NY1
-0.5
-0.1
0.8
-0.1
0.1
1949
NY1
-0.9
-0.0
2.5
0.2
1.8
1950
NY1
-0.7
-0.1
0.2
0.1
-0.6
1951
NY1
-0.7
-0.1
0.2
0.1
-0.4
1952
NY1
-0.8
0.0
1.5
-0.0
0.6
1953
NY1
-0.6
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.5
+
1954
-0.1
-0.0
0.3
-0.0
0.2
BAL
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
MLN
-0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.0
0.3
1955
MLN
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
------
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------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-6.4
-0.2
4.8
0.3
-1.5
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1941
NY1
0.1
0.3
0.2
0.4
1942
NY1
0.2
-0.6
0.7
0.0
1943
-
-
-
-
-
1944
-
-
-
-
-
1945
-
-
-
-
-
1946
NY1
0.6
-0.3
2.5
2.2
1947
NY1
0.5
-0.5
1.7
1.2
1948
NY1
0.5
0.7
1.1
1.8
1949
NY1
1.3
3.1
1.5
4.6
1950
NY1
0.8
0.2
1.7
1.9
1951
NY1
0.5
0.0
1.4
1.4
1952
NY1
0.7
1.4
1.5
2.9
1953
NY1
0.2
-0.3
0.9
0.6
+
1954
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.5
BAL
-0.1
-0.1
0.1
-0.1
MLN
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.6
1955
MLN
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
5.4
3.9
13.5
17.4
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1941
NY1
4
1.3
0.3
0.2
0.6
1942
NY1
19
4.7
0.0
-
0.0
1943
-
-
-
-
-
-
1944
-
-
-
-
-
-
1945
-
-
-
-
-
-
1946
NY1
41
17.9
2.5
0.0
2.6
1947
NY1
39
13.3
1.0
-
1.0
1948
NY1
35
8.6
1.7
0.5
2.4
1949
NY1
39
13.4
4.9
3.3
9.8
1950
NY1
40
11.9
1.4
0.1
1.6
1951
NY1
39
10.0
1.6
0.2
1.9
1952
NY1
41
11.2
3.8
2.2
7.0
1953
NY1
37
5.8
0.3
-
0.3
+
1954
15
1.6
0.7
0.4
1.3
BAL
3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.1
MLN
12
1.1
0.6
0.4
1.3
1955
MLN
1
0.0
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
350
99.8
18.2
6.9
28.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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