Matt Albers - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Matt Albers
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2006
HOU
-0.1
-0.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.6
2007
HOU
-0.6
-0.1
-2.3
0.2
-2.9
2008
BAL
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
2009
BAL
-0.0
-0.0
-0.6
-0.1
-0.7
2010
BAL
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
2011
BOS
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
+
2012
0.0
0.0
-1.1
0.0
-1.1
ARI
0.0
0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.5
BOS
0.0
0.0
-0.6
0.0
-0.6
2013
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
2014
HOU
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.2
2015
CHA
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.7
2016
CHA
0.1
0.1
-0.6
0.1
-0.4
2017
WAS
0.0
0.0
0.4
-0.0
0.4
2018
MIL
0.0
0.0
-0.3
-0.1
-0.3
2019
MIL
0.0
0.0
-0.3
-0.0
-0.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.6
-0.0
-4.5
0.1
-5.1
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2006
HOU
0.1
-0.5
0.1
-0.4
2007
HOU
0.6
-2.3
1.0
-1.3
2008
BAL
-0.0
0.0
0.5
0.5
2009
BAL
-0.1
-0.8
0.6
-0.1
2010
BAL
-0.0
-0.1
0.6
0.5
2011
BOS
-0.1
-0.1
0.6
0.5
+
2012
-0.1
-1.2
0.6
-0.6
ARI
-0.5
-0.5
0.2
-0.3
BOS
-0.7
-0.7
0.4
-0.2
2013
CLE
-0.0
-0.1
0.3
0.2
2014
HOU
-0.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
2015
CHA
-0.1
0.6
0.3
0.9
2016
CHA
-0.1
-0.5
0.6
0.2
2017
WAS
-0.1
0.3
0.6
0.9
2018
MIL
-0.0
-0.4
0.5
0.2
2019
MIL
-0.0
-0.4
0.8
0.5
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.1
-5.2
7.3
2.2
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2006
HOU
4
0.8
0.0
-
0.0
2007
HOU
31
6.3
-
-
0.0
2008
BAL
28
2.6
0.6
0.2
0.9
2009
BAL
56
2.8
0.3
-
0.3
2010
BAL
62
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.8
2011
BOS
56
2.8
0.5
-
0.5
+
2012
63
2.7
0.3
0.0
0.4
ARI
23
0.9
0.1
-
0.1
BOS
40
1.9
0.2
0.0
0.3
2013
CLE
56
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.4
2014
HOU
8
0.6
0.3
0.2
0.6
2015
CHA
30
1.5
0.8
0.5
1.5
2016
CHA
58
2.8
0.1
-
0.1
2017
WAS
63
3.2
1.3
0.6
2.3
2018
MIL
34
2.1
0.1
-
0.1
2019
MIL
67
3.8
0.7
0.1
0.8
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Career Totals
616
36.2
5.9
1.8
8.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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