Matt Belisle - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Matt Belisle
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2003
CIN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
2004
-
-
-
-
-
-
2005
CIN
-0.1
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
2006
CIN
-0.1
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.1
2007
CIN
-0.8
0.0
-1.6
-0.1
-2.5
2008
CIN
-0.3
0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.8
2009
COL
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.2
2010
COL
0.0
-0.0
1.0
-0.3
0.7
2011
COL
0.0
-0.0
0.8
0.0
0.8
2012
COL
-0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.2
2013
COL
-0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.1
0.1
2014
COL
-0.0
0.0
-1.4
0.0
-1.4
2015
SLN
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.2
2016
WAS
-0.0
-0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.1
2017
MIN
0.0
0.0
0.8
0.1
0.8
+
–
2018
0.0
0.0
-0.5
0.1
-0.5
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
MIN
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-1.4
0.0
-0.8
-0.5
-2.7
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2003
CIN
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
2004
-
-
-
-
-
2005
CIN
0.0
-0.1
0.8
0.6
2006
CIN
0.0
-0.0
0.2
0.2
2007
CIN
0.7
-1.7
1.3
-0.4
2008
CIN
0.2
-0.6
0.3
-0.4
2009
COL
0.0
-0.2
0.2
0.0
2010
COL
-0.1
0.6
0.8
1.4
2011
COL
-0.1
0.7
0.6
1.3
2012
COL
-0.2
-0.0
1.1
1.1
2013
COL
-0.1
-0.0
0.8
0.8
2014
COL
-0.0
-1.4
0.5
-1.0
2015
SLN
-0.1
0.1
0.3
0.4
2016
WAS
-0.0
0.0
0.2
0.3
2017
MIN
-0.1
0.7
0.6
1.4
+
–
2018
-0.0
-0.5
0.2
-0.3
CLE
-0.2
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
MIN
-0.3
-0.3
0.1
-0.1
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
0.2
-2.5
7.9
5.4
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2003
CIN
6
0.2
0.0
-
0.0
2004
-
-
-
-
-
-
2005
CIN
61
4.4
0.4
-
0.4
2006
CIN
30
1.1
0.1
-
0.1
2007
CIN
30
9.1
0.2
-
0.2
2008
CIN
6
1.6
-
-
0.0
2009
COL
24
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
2010
COL
76
5.0
1.7
0.9
3.1
2011
COL
74
3.6
1.4
0.7
2.5
2012
COL
80
6.0
1.6
0.5
2.3
2013
COL
72
4.5
0.9
0.0
1.0
2014
COL
66
2.1
0.3
0.0
0.3
2015
SLN
34
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.7
2016
WAS
40
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.6
2017
MIN
62
3.5
1.2
0.6
2.1
+
–
2018
33
0.7
-
-
0.0
CLE
8
0.2
-
-
0.0
MIN
25
0.6
-
-
0.0
------
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------
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Career Totals
694
45.6
8.7
3.1
13.3
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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