Jason Bere - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jason Bere
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1993
CHA
0.0
0.0
0.7
-0.0
0.7
1994
CHA
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.0
0.3
1995
CHA
0.0
0.0
-2.2
-0.1
-2.3
1996
CHA
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.4
1997
CHA
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
+
1998
-0.3
-0.0
-1.6
-0.0
-1.9
CHA
0.0
0.0
-1.7
-0.0
-1.7
CIN
-0.3
-0.0
0.2
-0.0
-0.2
+
1999
-0.1
0.0
-1.0
-0.1
-1.1
CIN
-0.1
0.0
-1.0
-0.0
-1.1
MIL
-0.0
-0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.0
+
2000
-0.4
-0.0
-0.8
0.1
-1.1
CLE
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
MIL
-0.4
-0.0
-1.0
0.1
-1.3
2001
CHN
-0.7
-0.1
0.6
0.0
-0.2
2002
CHN
-0.5
-0.0
-1.2
-0.0
-1.7
2003
CLE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-2.0
-0.1
-5.6
-0.1
-7.8
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1993
CHA
0.2
0.9
1.0
1.9
1994
CHA
0.1
0.4
1.1
1.5
1995
CHA
-0.7
-3.0
1.4
-1.6
1996
CHA
-0.1
-0.4
0.1
-0.3
1997
CHA
-0.0
-0.3
0.3
0.0
+
1998
-0.0
-2.0
1.2
-0.8
CHA
-2.1
-2.1
0.8
-1.2
CIN
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.5
+
1999
0.1
-1.0
0.5
-0.5
CIN
-1.2
-1.2
0.3
-0.8
MIL
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.3
+
2000
0.5
-0.6
1.5
0.9
CLE
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.8
MIL
-0.9
-0.9
0.9
0.1
2001
CHN
1.3
1.1
1.5
2.6
2002
CHN
0.1
-1.6
0.8
-0.7
2003
CLE
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
1.5
-6.4
9.4
3.1
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1993
CHA
24
8.7
2.1
1.1
3.8
1994
CHA
24
12.4
3.4
1.8
6.1
1995
CHA
27
9.9
-
-
0.0
1996
CHA
5
0.7
-
-
0.0
1997
CHA
6
2.1
0.0
-
0.0
+
1998
27
7.7
0.5
0.1
0.7
CHA
18
4.9
-
-
0.0
CIN
9
2.9
0.5
0.1
0.7
+
1999
17
3.9
0.9
0.5
1.7
CIN
12
2.5
0.3
0.2
0.6
MIL
5
1.4
0.5
0.4
1.1
+
2000
31
10.9
0.9
0.3
1.3
CLE
11
4.0
0.8
0.3
1.3
MIL
20
6.9
0.0
-
0.0
2001
CHN
32
11.7
2.0
0.5
2.8
2002
CHN
16
5.1
-
-
0.0
2003
CLE
2
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.1
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Career Totals
211
73.3
9.8
4.5
16.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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