Doug Davis (1999) - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Doug Davis (1999)
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1999
TEX
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2000
TEX
0.0
0.0
-0.5
0.1
-0.4
2001
TEX
-0.1
-0.0
0.4
-0.3
0.1
2002
TEX
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
+
2003
-0.3
-0.0
-0.8
-0.0
-1.1
MIL
-0.3
-0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.5
TEX
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
TOR
-0.0
-0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.4
2004
MIL
-1.5
-0.0
1.7
-0.0
0.1
2005
MIL
-0.8
0.0
0.5
0.1
-0.3
2006
MIL
-1.1
0.0
-0.2
-0.3
-1.5
2007
ARI
-1.1
-0.0
-0.8
0.2
-1.8
2008
ARI
-0.8
-0.0
0.2
0.2
-0.4
2009
ARI
-0.9
-0.1
-1.2
-0.3
-2.4
2010
MIL
-0.4
-0.0
-0.9
0.0
-1.2
2011
CHN
-0.4
-0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.9
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CAREER (reg. season)
-7.3
-0.1
-2.3
-0.3
-10.0
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1999
TEX
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
2000
TEX
-0.0
-0.4
0.8
0.4
2001
TEX
0.2
0.3
1.5
1.8
2002
TEX
-0.0
-0.3
0.4
0.2
+
2003
0.0
-1.1
0.9
-0.2
MIL
-0.4
-0.4
0.4
-0.0
TEX
-0.2
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
TOR
-0.4
-0.4
0.5
0.1
2004
MIL
1.3
1.5
1.7
3.2
2005
MIL
1.1
0.8
1.7
2.5
2006
MIL
0.8
-0.7
1.7
0.9
2007
ARI
0.5
-1.2
1.8
0.5
2008
ARI
0.7
0.3
1.2
1.5
2009
ARI
0.7
-1.7
1.7
0.1
2010
MIL
-0.0
-1.3
0.4
-0.9
2011
CHN
0.1
-0.8
0.5
-0.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
5.5
-4.5
14.2
9.8
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1999
TEX
2
0.0
-
-
0.0
2000
TEX
30
5.1
0.4
-
0.4
2001
TEX
30
10.4
1.3
0.2
1.5
2002
TEX
10
2.8
0.1
-
0.1
+
2003
21
6.1
0.3
0.1
0.5
MIL
8
2.8
0.3
0.1
0.5
TEX
1
0.1
-
-
0.0
TOR
12
3.2
0.0
-
0.0
2004
MIL
34
13.1
2.7
1.0
4.1
2005
MIL
35
13.0
2.4
0.7
3.5
2006
MIL
34
12.2
1.0
-
1.0
2007
ARI
33
13.3
1.7
0.5
2.4
2008
ARI
26
8.9
1.3
0.2
1.6
2009
ARI
34
12.4
0.0
-
0.0
2010
MIL
8
2.3
-
-
0.0
2011
CHN
9
3.1
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
306
102.8
11.2
2.6
15.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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