Alan Embree - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Alan Embree
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1992
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.5
1993
-
-
-
-
-
-
1994
-
-
-
-
-
-
1995
CLE
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
1996
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.6
-0.0
-0.6
1997
ATL
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
+
1998
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.2
ARI
-0.0
-0.0
0.1
-0.1
-0.0
ATL
-0.0
-0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
1999
SFN
0.0
0.0
1.0
0.0
1.0
2000
SFN
0.0
0.0
-0.5
0.1
-0.4
+
2001
-0.0
0.0
-0.4
0.0
-0.4
CHA
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
SFN
-0.0
0.0
-0.7
-0.0
-0.7
+
2002
0.0
0.0
1.4
-0.1
1.3
BOS
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.8
SDN
0.0
0.0
0.7
-0.1
0.6
2003
BOS
0.0
0.0
0.8
0.1
0.9
2004
BOS
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
+
2005
0.0
0.0
-1.3
-0.1
-1.4
BOS
0.0
0.0
-1.3
0.0
-1.3
NYA
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
2006
SDN
-0.0
-0.0
0.6
-0.1
0.5
2007
OAK
0.0
0.0
1.9
0.0
1.9
2008
OAK
0.0
0.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.4
2009
COL
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.1
-0.0
3.0
-0.1
2.8
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1992
CLE
0.0
-0.5
0.2
-0.3
1993
-
-
-
-
-
1994
-
-
-
-
-
1995
CLE
-0.0
0.2
0.3
0.5
1996
CLE
-0.0
-0.6
0.2
-0.4
1997
ATL
-0.1
0.4
0.4
0.8
+
1998
-0.1
-0.2
0.5
0.2
ARI
-0.1
-0.1
0.3
0.3
ATL
-0.2
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
1999
SFN
-0.1
0.9
0.5
1.4
2000
SFN
-0.1
-0.5
0.5
-0.0
+
2001
-0.1
-0.5
0.4
-0.1
CHA
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.5
SFN
-0.7
-0.7
0.1
-0.6
+
2002
-0.1
1.2
0.7
1.9
BOS
0.7
0.7
0.4
1.1
SDN
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.9
2003
BOS
-0.1
0.8
0.4
1.3
2004
BOS
-0.1
0.4
0.5
0.9
+
2005
-0.0
-1.5
0.5
-1.0
BOS
-1.3
-1.3
0.3
-1.0
NYA
-0.1
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
2006
SDN
-0.1
0.4
0.5
1.0
2007
OAK
-0.1
1.7
0.8
2.5
2008
OAK
-0.1
-0.5
0.7
0.2
2009
COL
-0.0
-0.1
0.2
0.1
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-1.0
1.7
7.1
8.9
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1992
CLE
4
1.0
-
-
0.0
1993
-
-
-
-
-
-
1994
-
-
-
-
-
-
1995
CLE
23
1.8
0.4
0.2
0.7
1996
CLE
24
0.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
1997
ATL
66
2.2
0.9
0.5
1.6
+
1998
55
2.3
0.2
-
0.2
ARI
35
1.7
0.2
-
0.2
ATL
20
0.6
-
-
0.0
1999
SFN
68
3.0
1.2
0.7
2.2
2000
SFN
63
2.6
0.4
0.2
0.7
+
2001
61
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.6
CHA
39
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.6
SFN
22
0.3
-
-
0.0
+
2002
68
4.3
1.6
0.9
3.0
BOS
32
2.2
0.9
0.6
1.8
SDN
36
2.0
0.7
0.4
1.3
2003
BOS
65
3.1
1.4
0.9
2.8
2004
BOS
71
3.3
1.2
0.6
2.1
+
2005
67
1.9
-
-
0.0
BOS
43
1.4
-
-
0.0
NYA
24
0.6
-
-
0.0
2006
SDN
73
3.1
1.0
0.5
1.8
2007
OAK
68
4.6
1.9
1.2
3.7
2008
OAK
70
3.7
0.4
-
0.4
2009
COL
36
1.0
0.1
-
0.1
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
882
40.5
11.2
5.8
19.8
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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