Mike Epstein - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Mike Epstein
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1966
BAL
0.2
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
+
1967
1.2
-0.4
0.0
-0.4
0.4
BAL
-0.2
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
WS2
1.4
-0.4
0.0
-0.4
0.7
1968
WS2
0.1
-0.2
0.0
-0.4
-0.5
1969
WS2
6.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.5
5.1
1970
WS2
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.5
-0.6
+
1971
2.7
-0.7
0.0
-0.0
2.0
OAK
2.2
-0.6
0.0
0.1
1.7
WS2
0.5
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
0.3
1972
OAK
3.6
0.2
0.0
0.1
4.0
+
1973
-1.4
0.2
0.0
-0.4
-1.6
CAL
-0.5
0.1
0.0
-0.4
-0.7
TEX
-0.9
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.8
1974
CAL
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
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CAREER (reg. season)
12.4
-1.2
0.0
-2.1
9.1
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1966
BAL
-0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
+
1967
-0.6
-0.1
0.9
0.7
BAL
-0.2
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
WS2
0.1
0.1
0.8
0.9
1968
WS2
-0.7
-1.2
1.1
-0.1
1969
WS2
-0.8
4.3
1.3
5.6
1970
WS2
-0.9
-1.5
1.2
-0.3
+
1971
-0.9
1.1
1.2
2.3
OAK
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.9
WS2
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3
1972
OAK
-1.0
2.9
1.4
4.3
+
1973
-0.8
-2.3
1.0
-1.3
CAL
-1.3
-1.3
0.8
-0.5
TEX
-1.0
-1.0
0.2
-0.8
1974
CAL
-0.1
-0.1
0.1
0.1
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CAREER (reg. season)
-5.9
3.2
8.2
11.5
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1966
BAL
6
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.2
+
1967
105
8.8
0.5
0.1
0.6
BAL
9
0.2
-
-
0.0
WS2
96
8.6
0.5
0.1
0.6
1968
WS2
123
11.0
0.4
-
0.4
1969
WS2
131
15.7
5.3
3.9
11.2
1970
WS2
140
12.4
0.7
0.1
0.9
+
1971
128
13.2
2.1
1.0
3.6
OAK
104
10.8
1.9
0.9
3.3
WS2
24
2.4
0.2
0.1
0.3
1972
OAK
138
17.7
4.8
3.3
9.8
+
1973
117
9.7
-
-
0.0
CAL
90
7.6
-
-
0.0
TEX
27
2.1
-
-
0.0
1974
CAL
18
1.3
0.1
-
0.1
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Career Totals
906
90.2
14.0
8.6
26.8
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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