Mike Fornieles - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Mike Fornieles
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1952
WS1
-0.2
-0.0
0.8
0.1
0.6
1953
CHA
-0.7
-0.0
0.7
-0.2
-0.2
1954
CHA
-0.2
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.3
1955
CHA
-0.3
0.1
-0.3
-0.0
-0.5
+
1956
-0.4
0.0
1.0
0.1
0.7
BAL
-0.4
0.0
0.9
0.1
0.7
CHA
-0.0
-0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
+
1957
-0.6
0.0
1.4
-0.1
0.7
BAL
-0.1
-0.0
0.6
0.1
0.5
BOS
-0.5
0.0
0.8
-0.1
0.2
1958
BOS
-0.3
-0.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.8
1959
BOS
-0.1
-0.0
0.5
-0.0
0.3
1960
BOS
0.0
-0.0
1.1
0.0
1.2
1961
BOS
-0.3
0.0
-0.9
0.3
-0.9
1962
BOS
-0.1
-0.0
-1.0
-0.1
-1.2
+
1963
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
BOS
0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
MIN
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-3.4
0.0
2.8
0.2
-0.4
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1952
WS1
0.3
0.9
0.2
1.2
1953
CHA
0.5
0.3
1.1
1.4
1954
CHA
0.2
-0.1
0.3
0.2
1955
CHA
0.2
-0.3
0.6
0.3
+
1956
0.4
1.1
1.0
2.1
BAL
1.1
1.1
0.9
1.9
CHA
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
+
1957
0.9
1.6
1.3
2.9
BAL
0.8
0.8
0.5
1.3
BOS
0.8
0.8
0.8
1.6
1958
BOS
0.2
-0.6
0.8
0.3
1959
BOS
0.1
0.4
0.7
1.1
1960
BOS
0.0
1.2
1.2
2.3
1961
BOS
0.1
-0.8
1.4
0.7
1962
BOS
-0.1
-1.3
0.7
-0.6
+
1963
0.0
-0.1
0.2
0.1
BOS
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
MIN
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.1
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
2.9
2.5
9.6
12.0
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1952
WS1
4
2.0
0.9
0.6
1.8
1953
CHA
39
8.1
1.4
0.3
1.9
1954
CHA
16
2.2
0.1
-
0.1
1955
CHA
28
4.1
0.5
0.0
0.6
+
1956
39
7.0
1.3
0.6
2.2
BAL
33
6.5
1.2
0.6
2.0
CHA
6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.2
+
1957
42
11.1
2.9
1.6
5.3
BAL
16
3.6
0.8
0.4
1.4
BOS
26
7.6
2.1
1.2
3.9
1958
BOS
37
5.3
0.1
-
0.1
1959
BOS
46
4.3
1.3
0.5
2.1
1960
BOS
70
7.4
2.5
1.3
4.5
1961
BOS
57
8.5
1.6
0.6
2.4
1962
BOS
42
3.6
-
-
0.0
+
1963
20
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.1
BOS
9
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
MIN
11
0.8
0.0
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
440
64.6
12.7
5.6
21.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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