Dave Goltz - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Dave Goltz
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1972
MIN
-0.3
0.0
0.6
-0.1
0.2
1973
MIN
0.0
0.0
-0.5
0.1
-0.4
1974
MIN
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.1
-0.3
1975
MIN
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.4
1976
MIN
0.0
-0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.4
1977
MIN
0.0
-0.0
2.0
-0.0
2.0
1978
MIN
0.0
0.0
0.9
0.0
1.0
1979
MIN
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.7
1980
LAN
-0.5
-0.2
-0.8
-0.1
-1.6
1981
LAN
-0.3
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.4
+
1982
-0.0
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
CAL
0.0
0.0
0.5
-0.0
0.5
LAN
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
1983
CAL
0.0
0.0
-1.1
-0.0
-1.1
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------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-1.1
-0.2
1.9
-0.2
0.4
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1972
MIN
0.4
0.6
0.5
1.1
1973
MIN
-0.1
-0.5
0.7
0.2
1974
MIN
-0.0
-0.3
1.2
0.9
1975
MIN
0.2
0.6
1.7
2.3
1976
MIN
0.0
-0.4
1.9
1.5
1977
MIN
0.7
2.7
2.1
4.8
1978
MIN
0.3
1.3
1.6
2.9
1979
MIN
0.3
1.0
1.9
2.9
1980
LAN
0.4
-1.2
1.3
0.1
1981
LAN
0.2
-0.2
0.6
0.4
+
1982
0.0
0.5
0.7
1.2
CAL
0.6
0.6
0.7
1.3
LAN
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
1983
CAL
-0.3
-1.4
0.5
-0.9
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CAREER (reg. season)
2.3
2.7
14.7
17.4
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1972
MIN
15
4.3
1.1
0.5
1.9
1973
MIN
32
4.5
0.2
-
0.2
1974
MIN
28
8.1
0.5
-
0.5
1975
MIN
32
13.3
2.5
0.8
3.7
1976
MIN
37
13.5
1.8
0.2
2.1
1977
MIN
40
17.2
5.4
3.2
10.2
1978
MIN
29
12.5
3.7
2.1
6.8
1979
MIN
36
14.0
2.5
0.6
3.3
1980
LAN
35
8.8
0.0
-
0.0
1981
LAN
26
5.7
0.3
-
0.3
+
1982
30
4.7
1.0
0.3
1.4
CAL
28
4.6
1.0
0.3
1.4
LAN
2
0.1
-
-
0.0
1983
CAL
15
2.5
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
355
109.1
18.9
7.7
30.4
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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