Brandon Guyer - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Brandon Guyer
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2011
TBA
-0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
-0.0
2012
TBA
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
2013
-
-
-
-
-
-
2014
TBA
-0.4
0.3
0.0
-0.2
-0.3
2015
TBA
0.2
-0.0
0.0
0.5
0.7
+
2016
0.1
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
-0.5
CLE
0.7
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.8
TBA
-0.7
-0.2
0.0
-0.4
-1.3
2017
CLE
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.0
2018
CLE
-0.4
-0.3
0.0
0.0
-0.7
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CAREER (reg. season)
-1.0
-0.2
0.0
0.2
-1.0
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2011
TBA
-0.1
-0.1
0.1
0.0
2012
TBA
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2013
-
-
-
-
-
2014
TBA
-0.1
-0.3
0.7
0.4
2015
TBA
-0.0
0.6
1.0
1.6
+
2016
-0.1
-0.6
0.9
0.3
CLE
0.8
0.8
0.3
1.1
TBA
-1.4
-1.4
0.6
-0.8
2017
CLE
-0.1
-0.2
0.5
0.3
2018
CLE
-0.1
-0.8
0.6
-0.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.5
-1.5
3.9
2.4
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2011
TBA
15
1.2
0.0
-
0.0
2012
TBA
3
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.1
2013
-
-
-
-
-
-
2014
TBA
97
7.4
0.4
-
0.4
2015
TBA
128
10.0
1.5
0.5
2.2
+
2016
101
9.7
1.5
0.9
2.9
CLE
38
4.0
1.3
0.9
2.7
TBA
63
5.7
0.2
-
0.2
2017
CLE
70
5.1
0.2
-
0.2
2018
CLE
104
5.5
0.1
-
0.1
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Career Totals
518
39.1
3.7
1.5
5.9
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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