Dan Haren - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Dan Haren
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2003
SLN
-0.4
-0.0
-1.1
0.0
-1.5
2004
SLN
-0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.4
2005
OAK
0.1
-0.0
0.4
-0.0
0.5
2006
OAK
-0.1
-0.0
0.5
0.0
0.4
2007
OAK
-0.1
-0.0
0.9
0.0
0.8
2008
ARI
-0.5
0.0
2.3
0.2
2.0
2009
ARI
-0.6
0.0
2.5
-0.1
1.8
+
2010
0.3
-0.0
0.4
0.0
0.6
ANA
0.0
0.0
1.3
-0.0
1.3
ARI
0.3
-0.0
-0.9
0.1
-0.6
2011
ANA
-0.0
0.0
3.3
0.2
3.5
2012
ANA
-0.1
-0.0
-0.7
0.0
-0.8
2013
WAS
-0.6
0.0
-1.6
-0.0
-2.2
2014
LAN
-0.8
-0.1
-1.2
0.0
-2.0
+
2015
-0.9
-0.0
-1.2
-0.1
-2.2
CHN
-0.4
-0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.9
MIA
-0.5
-0.0
-0.7
-0.1
-1.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
-4.2
-0.0
4.6
0.3
0.7
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
2003
SLN
0.1
-1.4
0.7
-0.7
2004
SLN
0.3
-0.1
0.3
0.2
2005
OAK
0.4
0.9
1.6
2.4
2006
OAK
0.4
0.8
1.7
2.5
2007
OAK
0.6
1.4
1.6
3.0
2008
ARI
2.0
4.0
1.7
5.7
2009
ARI
2.0
3.8
1.6
5.5
+
2010
1.0
1.6
1.8
3.5
ANA
1.7
1.7
0.7
2.3
ARI
-0.0
-0.0
1.1
1.1
2011
ANA
1.0
4.5
1.7
6.2
2012
ANA
0.1
-0.7
1.6
0.9
2013
WAS
0.5
-1.6
1.6
0.0
2014
LAN
0.8
-1.2
1.5
0.3
+
2015
0.9
-1.3
1.5
0.2
CHN
-0.6
-0.6
0.5
-0.1
MIA
-0.7
-0.7
1.0
0.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
10.1
10.8
18.9
29.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2003
SLN
15
4.2
-
-
0.0
2004
SLN
14
2.8
0.5
0.2
0.8
2005
OAK
34
11.7
2.5
1.0
4.0
2006
OAK
34
13.3
2.7
1.0
4.1
2007
OAK
34
12.3
3.1
1.5
5.4
2008
ARI
34
14.8
5.4
3.7
10.9
2009
ARI
37
14.9
5.6
4.0
11.5
+
2010
37
14.3
2.5
1.1
4.1
ANA
14
5.5
1.8
1.1
3.4
ARI
23
8.8
0.7
-
0.7
2011
ANA
35
15.0
6.8
5.1
14.5
2012
ANA
31
11.4
0.9
-
0.9
2013
WAS
31
11.4
0.0
-
0.0
2014
LAN
32
10.7
0.1
-
0.1
+
2015
33
11.3
0.9
0.1
1.0
CHN
11
3.7
0.1
-
0.1
MIA
22
7.6
0.7
0.1
0.9
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Career Totals
401
148.1
31.0
17.6
57.4
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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