Ken Holtzman - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Ken Holtzman
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1965
CHN
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
1966
CHN
-1.5
-0.1
-1.8
-0.2
-3.5
1967
CHN
-0.2
0.0
1.2
0.1
1.1
1968
CHN
-0.8
-0.0
-0.1
0.2
-0.7
1969
CHN
-1.2
-0.1
1.8
-0.1
0.3
1970
CHN
-1.1
-0.2
1.9
0.0
0.6
1971
CHN
-0.9
0.0
-1.4
-0.3
-2.5
1972
OAK
-0.4
-0.2
0.2
0.1
-0.3
1973
OAK
0.0
0.0
3.1
-0.1
3.0
1974
OAK
0.0
0.0
1.8
0.3
2.0
1975
OAK
-0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
+
1976
0.0
0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.3
BAL
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.1
0.5
NYA
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.3
1977
NYA
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.5
+
1978
-0.0
-0.0
-1.3
0.0
-1.3
CHN
-0.0
-0.0
-1.0
0.0
-1.0
NYA
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
1979
CHN
-0.1
0.0
-0.9
-0.1
-1.2
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-6.3
-0.6
4.5
0.1
-2.3
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1965
CHN
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
1966
CHN
1.1
-2.4
1.8
-0.5
1967
CHN
0.3
1.4
0.5
2.0
1968
CHN
0.9
0.2
1.6
1.9
1969
CHN
1.2
1.5
2.0
3.6
1970
CHN
1.3
1.9
1.9
3.8
1971
CHN
0.9
-1.5
1.6
0.0
1972
OAK
1.0
0.7
1.7
2.5
1973
OAK
0.2
3.2
2.0
5.1
1974
OAK
0.1
2.2
1.8
3.9
1975
OAK
0.1
0.5
1.8
2.3
+
1976
0.1
0.4
1.5
1.9
BAL
0.6
0.6
0.6
1.1
NYA
-0.2
-0.2
1.0
0.8
1977
NYA
0.0
-0.4
0.4
-0.1
+
1978
0.1
-1.2
0.5
-0.7
CHN
-0.9
-0.9
0.4
-0.5
NYA
-0.3
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
1979
CHN
0.4
-0.8
0.8
0.0
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
7.9
5.6
20.1
25.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1965
CHN
3
0.0
-
-
0.0
1966
CHN
34
13.9
0.7
-
0.7
1967
CHN
12
4.6
1.0
0.7
2.1
1968
CHN
35
13.2
1.3
0.1
1.5
1969
CHN
39
16.7
3.5
1.5
5.7
1970
CHN
40
17.1
4.0
2.1
7.1
1971
CHN
30
12.1
0.1
-
0.1
1972
OAK
40
16.3
3.0
1.1
4.7
1973
OAK
41
18.1
5.1
3.0
9.6
1974
OAK
39
16.2
4.4
2.5
8.2
1975
OAK
39
15.0
2.9
1.0
4.3
+
1976
34
11.9
1.3
0.3
1.8
BAL
13
4.6
0.9
0.3
1.4
NYA
21
7.3
0.4
-
0.4
1977
NYA
18
2.5
-
-
0.0
+
1978
28
3.0
-
-
0.0
CHN
23
2.3
-
-
0.0
NYA
5
0.8
-
-
0.0
1979
CHN
24
6.2
0.0
-
0.0
------
------
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------
Career Totals
456
166.8
27.4
12.2
45.8
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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