Mark Lowe - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Mark Lowe
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2006
SEA
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2007
SEA
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
2008
SEA
-0.0
-0.0
-0.3
-0.2
-0.5
2009
SEA
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.2
0.5
+
2010
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
SEA
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
TEX
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
2011
TEX
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2012
TEX
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
2013
ANA
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.2
2014
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.1
-0.3
+
2015
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.0
0.6
SEA
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
TOR
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.2
2016
DET
0.0
0.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.5
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.0
-0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
2006
SEA
-0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
2007
SEA
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2008
SEA
-0.1
-0.6
0.5
-0.1
2009
SEA
-0.2
0.3
1.2
1.4
+
2010
-0.0
-0.2
0.2
-0.1
SEA
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.0
TEX
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2011
TEX
-0.1
-0.0
0.4
0.3
2012
TEX
-0.0
-0.0
0.2
0.1
2013
ANA
-0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
2014
CLE
-0.0
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
+
2015
-0.1
0.5
0.5
1.0
SEA
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.6
TOR
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3
2016
DET
-0.1
-0.5
0.4
-0.2
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.7
-1.3
3.7
2.4
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2006
SEA
15
1.3
0.5
0.3
0.9
2007
SEA
4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
2008
SEA
57
2.2
-
-
0.0
2009
SEA
75
5.9
0.7
0.1
0.9
+
2010
14
0.8
0.0
-
0.0
SEA
11
0.7
0.0
-
0.0
TEX
3
0.1
-
-
0.0
2011
TEX
52
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.6
2012
TEX
36
0.7
0.1
-
0.1
2013
ANA
11
0.6
-
-
0.0
2014
CLE
7
0.2
-
-
0.0
+
2015
57
2.7
0.8
0.5
1.5
SEA
34
1.7
0.6
0.4
1.2
TOR
23
1.0
0.2
0.1
0.4
2016
DET
54
1.6
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
382
18.2
2.6
1.0
4.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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