John McDonald (1999) - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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John McDonald (1999)
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1999
CLE
-0.4
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.5
2000
CLE
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
2001
CLE
-0.4
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.4
2002
CLE
-1.9
-0.0
0.0
0.6
-1.2
2003
CLE
-1.3
-0.1
0.0
-0.7
-2.0
2004
CLE
-1.0
-0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.5
+
2005
-1.0
-0.1
0.0
0.1
-1.1
DET
-0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.5
TOR
-0.5
-0.1
0.0
0.0
-0.6
2006
TOR
-1.4
0.2
0.0
0.4
-0.8
2007
TOR
-1.2
0.1
0.0
1.6
0.4
2008
TOR
-1.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.0
-1.3
2009
TOR
-0.6
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
-1.1
2010
TOR
-1.0
0.1
0.0
-0.2
-1.1
+
2011
-0.7
-0.1
0.0
0.9
0.1
ARI
-0.5
-0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.4
TOR
-0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.8
0.5
2012
ARI
-0.4
-0.1
0.0
0.6
0.1
+
2013
-1.1
0.0
-0.0
0.2
-0.9
BOS
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
CLE
-0.1
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
PHI
-0.6
-0.0
-0.0
0.2
-0.4
PIT
-0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
-0.3
2014
ANA
-0.4
-0.1
0.0
0.8
0.4
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-13.8
-0.7
-0.0
4.5
-10.0
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1999
CLE
0.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.4
2000
CLE
0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
2001
CLE
0.0
-0.3
0.1
-0.3
2002
CLE
0.3
-1.0
0.7
-0.3
2003
CLE
0.2
-1.8
0.6
-1.2
2004
CLE
0.1
-0.4
0.2
-0.2
+
2005
0.3
-0.8
0.5
-0.3
DET
-0.4
-0.4
0.2
-0.2
TOR
-0.4
-0.4
0.3
-0.1
2006
TOR
0.5
-0.4
0.8
0.4
2007
TOR
0.4
0.8
1.0
1.8
2008
TOR
0.3
-1.0
0.6
-0.4
2009
TOR
0.2
-0.9
0.4
-0.5
2010
TOR
0.1
-0.9
0.4
-0.5
+
2011
0.2
0.3
0.6
1.0
ARI
-0.3
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
TOR
0.6
0.6
0.5
1.1
2012
ARI
0.3
0.5
0.6
1.1
+
2013
0.1
-0.8
0.2
-0.6
BOS
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
CLE
-0.2
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
PHI
-0.3
-0.3
0.1
-0.3
PIT
-0.2
-0.2
0.1
-0.2
2014
ANA
0.1
0.4
0.2
0.6
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
3.3
-6.8
6.9
0.2
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1999
CLE
18
0.3
-
-
0.0
2000
CLE
9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2001
CLE
17
0.5
-
-
0.0
2002
CLE
93
6.5
0.1
-
0.1
2003
CLE
82
5.4
-
-
0.0
2004
CLE
66
2.0
0.1
-
0.1
+
2005
68
5.0
0.2
-
0.2
DET
31
2.0
0.1
-
0.1
TOR
37
2.9
0.1
-
0.1
2006
TOR
104
7.4
0.2
-
0.2
2007
TOR
122
10.5
1.2
0.4
1.8
2008
TOR
84
5.2
-
-
0.0
2009
TOR
73
3.8
-
-
0.0
2010
TOR
63
4.2
0.3
0.1
0.4
+
2011
84
6.6
0.8
0.3
1.3
ARI
19
1.2
-
-
0.0
TOR
65
5.4
0.8
0.3
1.3
2012
ARI
70
6.1
0.9
0.3
1.3
+
2013
51
1.2
0.0
-
0.0
BOS
6
0.1
0.0
-
0.0
CLE
8
0.1
-
-
0.0
PHI
21
0.4
-
-
0.0
PIT
16
0.6
-
-
0.0
2014
ANA
95
2.4
0.6
0.4
1.1
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Career Totals
1,099
67.1
4.3
1.5
6.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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