Mark Melancon - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Mark Melancon
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2009
NYA
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
+
2010
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
HOU
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
NYA
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
2011
HOU
0.0
-0.0
0.8
-0.0
0.7
2012
BOS
0.0
0.0
-0.7
-0.0
-0.8
2013
PIT
0.0
0.0
3.6
0.1
3.7
2014
PIT
0.0
0.0
2.5
0.1
2.7
2015
PIT
0.0
0.0
4.5
0.2
4.7
+
2016
0.0
0.0
3.3
0.2
3.4
PIT
0.0
0.0
2.1
0.1
2.2
WAS
0.0
0.0
1.2
0.0
1.3
2017
SFN
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.2
2018
SFN
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.3
0.0
+
2019
0.0
0.0
2.1
0.0
2.1
ATL
0.0
0.0
1.5
0.0
1.5
SFN
0.0
0.0
0.5
-0.0
0.5
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
0.0
-0.0
16.3
0.3
16.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2009
NYA
-0.0
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
+
2010
-0.0
0.2
0.2
0.4
HOU
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
NYA
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
2011
HOU
-0.2
0.6
0.9
1.5
2012
BOS
-0.0
-0.8
0.3
-0.5
2013
PIT
-0.2
3.5
1.0
4.4
2014
PIT
-0.2
2.5
0.9
3.4
2015
PIT
-0.3
4.4
1.0
5.4
+
2016
-0.2
3.2
0.9
4.1
PIT
2.0
2.0
0.6
2.6
WAS
1.2
1.2
0.3
1.5
2017
SFN
-0.1
0.1
0.5
0.6
2018
SFN
-0.1
-0.0
0.5
0.5
+
2019
-0.1
1.9
0.7
2.6
ATL
1.5
1.5
0.3
1.8
SFN
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.8
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-1.4
15.2
6.8
22.0
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2009
NYA
13
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.1
+
2010
22
1.1
0.4
0.2
0.6
HOU
20
1.1
0.4
0.2
0.6
NYA
2
0.0
-
-
0.0
2011
HOU
71
5.1
1.4
0.5
2.1
2012
BOS
41
1.1
0.0
-
0.0
2013
PIT
72
6.6
3.8
2.8
8.0
2014
PIT
72
6.1
3.2
2.2
6.5
2015
PIT
78
6.7
4.2
3.2
9.0
+
2016
75
6.1
3.6
2.7
7.8
PIT
45
3.8
2.2
1.6
4.7
WAS
30
2.4
1.4
1.1
3.1
2017
SFN
32
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.8
2018
SFN
41
2.6
0.3
-
0.3
+
2019
66
4.4
2.1
1.4
4.3
ATL
23
2.3
1.4
1.1
3.0
SFN
43
2.1
0.7
0.4
1.3
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Career Totals
583
42.7
19.7
13.3
39.6
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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