Oliver Perez - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Oliver Perez
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2002
SDN
-0.6
-0.0
-0.6
-0.0
-1.2
+
2003
-0.6
0.0
-1.4
-0.0
-2.0
PIT
-0.1
-0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.3
SDN
-0.4
0.0
-1.2
0.0
-1.6
2004
PIT
-1.0
-0.0
3.4
0.3
2.7
2005
PIT
-0.4
-0.0
-1.6
0.1
-2.0
+
2006
-0.7
-0.0
-4.3
-0.1
-5.1
NYN
-0.2
0.0
-0.3
-0.0
-0.5
PIT
-0.5
-0.0
-4.0
-0.1
-4.6
2007
NYN
-0.8
0.0
0.6
-0.2
-0.3
2008
NYN
-0.7
-0.0
0.7
0.0
-0.0
2009
NYN
0.0
0.0
-2.2
0.1
-2.2
2010
NYN
-0.0
-0.0
-1.7
-0.0
-1.7
2011
-
-
-
-
-
-
2012
SEA
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
2013
SEA
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.5
2014
ARI
0.0
0.0
0.8
-0.1
0.7
+
2015
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
ARI
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
HOU
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2016
WAS
0.1
0.0
0.4
-0.0
0.5
2017
WAS
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
2018
CLE
0.0
0.0
1.0
0.0
1.1
2019
CLE
0.0
0.0
0.4
-0.0
0.3
------
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-4.6
-0.0
-4.7
0.0
-9.4
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2002
SDN
0.5
-0.7
0.8
0.1
+
2003
0.6
-1.4
1.2
-0.2
PIT
-0.3
-0.3
0.2
-0.1
SDN
-1.1
-1.1
1.0
-0.2
2004
PIT
1.0
3.7
1.6
5.3
2005
PIT
0.5
-1.5
1.1
-0.4
+
2006
0.6
-4.5
1.3
-3.2
NYN
-0.4
-0.4
0.3
-0.0
PIT
-4.1
-4.1
0.9
-3.2
2007
NYN
0.9
0.6
1.6
2.2
2008
NYN
0.8
0.8
1.7
2.4
2009
NYN
0.2
-1.9
0.7
-1.3
2010
NYN
0.1
-1.6
0.4
-1.2
2011
-
-
-
-
-
2012
SEA
-0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
2013
SEA
-0.1
-0.5
0.5
-0.0
2014
ARI
-0.1
0.6
0.6
1.1
+
2015
-0.1
-0.3
0.3
0.0
ARI
-0.3
-0.3
0.2
-0.1
HOU
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
2016
WAS
-0.1
0.4
0.4
0.8
2017
WAS
-0.0
0.4
0.2
0.7
2018
CLE
-0.0
1.0
0.2
1.2
2019
CLE
-0.1
0.3
0.5
0.8
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
4.8
-4.6
13.2
8.6
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2002
SDN
16
5.2
0.0
-
0.0
+
2003
24
7.9
0.1
-
0.1
PIT
5
1.4
0.1
-
0.1
SDN
19
6.5
-
-
0.0
2004
PIT
31
13.9
5.4
3.8
11.1
2005
PIT
20
7.0
-
-
0.0
+
2006
23
8.3
0.1
0.1
0.2
NYN
7
2.9
0.1
0.1
0.2
PIT
16
5.5
-
-
0.0
2007
NYN
29
12.1
1.9
0.3
2.3
2008
NYN
34
12.4
1.9
0.4
2.5
2009
NYN
14
4.1
-
-
0.0
2010
NYN
17
2.1
-
-
0.0
2011
-
-
-
-
-
-
2012
SEA
33
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.5
2013
SEA
61
2.5
0.3
0.0
0.3
2014
ARI
68
3.1
0.9
0.3
1.3
+
2015
70
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.3
ARI
48
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.2
HOU
22
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.1
2016
WAS
64
2.5
0.7
0.3
1.1
2017
WAS
50
1.4
0.5
0.2
0.8
2018
CLE
51
1.5
1.1
0.9
2.4
2019
CLE
67
2.9
0.8
0.2
1.1
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Career Totals
672
89.7
14.1
6.6
24.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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