Chris Speier - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Chris Speier
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1971
SFN
-0.7
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
-1.3
1972
SFN
1.5
0.4
0.0
-0.6
1.3
1973
SFN
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-1.3
-1.6
1974
SFN
-1.1
-0.3
0.0
0.7
-0.7
1975
SFN
0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.4
0.5
1976
SFN
-1.3
-0.2
0.0
-1.6
-3.0
+
1977
-1.5
0.1
0.0
-0.2
-1.7
MON
-1.2
0.1
0.0
-0.2
-1.4
SFN
-0.3
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.3
1978
MON
-1.4
0.2
0.0
1.3
0.1
1979
MON
-1.5
-0.3
0.0
0.6
-1.2
1980
MON
-0.9
-0.1
0.0
0.9
-0.2
1981
MON
-0.6
0.2
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
1982
MON
-1.1
-0.4
0.0
0.7
-0.7
1983
MON
-0.9
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
-1.4
+
1984
-1.1
0.1
0.0
0.5
-0.5
MIN
-0.4
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.5
MON
-0.8
-0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.6
SLN
0.2
0.2
0.0
0.3
0.6
1985
CHN
-1.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.5
-1.8
1986
CHN
0.1
0.2
0.0
-0.0
0.3
1987
SFN
0.6
0.1
0.0
1.0
1.8
1988
SFN
-0.4
0.1
0.0
0.1
-0.2
1989
SFN
0.4
-0.1
0.0
-0.4
-0.1
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CAREER (reg. season)
-10.8
-1.1
0.0
0.6
-11.2
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1971
SFN
1.2
-0.1
1.9
1.8
1972
SFN
1.0
2.3
1.9
4.2
1973
SFN
1.1
-0.5
1.8
1.4
1974
SFN
1.0
0.3
1.8
2.1
1975
SFN
1.0
1.5
1.7
3.2
1976
SFN
1.0
-2.1
1.7
-0.4
+
1977
1.1
-0.6
1.7
1.2
MON
-0.3
-0.3
1.7
1.4
SFN
-0.2
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
1978
MON
1.0
1.1
1.7
2.8
1979
MON
0.7
-0.5
1.2
0.7
1980
MON
0.7
0.5
1.2
1.7
1981
MON
0.6
-0.3
1.0
0.7
1982
MON
1.0
0.3
1.6
1.9
1983
MON
0.5
-0.9
0.8
-0.1
+
1984
0.4
-0.1
0.6
0.5
MIN
-0.4
-0.4
0.1
-0.3
MON
-0.4
-0.4
0.1
-0.3
SLN
0.8
0.8
0.4
1.1
1985
CHN
0.4
-1.4
0.7
-0.7
1986
CHN
0.1
0.4
0.5
0.9
1987
SFN
0.3
2.0
1.0
3.1
1988
SFN
0.2
0.0
0.5
0.6
1989
SFN
0.1
-0.0
0.2
0.2
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CAREER (reg. season)
13.3
2.1
23.6
25.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1971
SFN
157
19.4
1.6
0.1
1.8
1972
SFN
150
21.6
5.4
3.4
10.6
1973
SFN
153
18.1
1.5
-
1.5
1974
SFN
141
17.6
2.3
0.5
3.0
1975
SFN
141
18.0
4.1
2.4
7.8
1976
SFN
145
16.1
0.4
-
0.4
+
1977
145
17.2
1.7
0.1
1.9
MON
139
16.9
1.7
0.1
1.9
SFN
6
0.3
-
-
0.0
1978
MON
150
17.2
2.6
0.9
4.0
1979
MON
113
11.5
0.9
-
0.9
1980
MON
128
12.3
1.6
0.4
2.2
1981
MON
96
17.0
0.9
0.2
1.2
1982
MON
156
16.1
1.6
0.1
1.8
1983
MON
87
7.3
0.4
-
0.4
+
1984
75
5.5
0.7
0.4
1.2
MIN
12
0.8
-
-
0.0
MON
25
1.0
-
-
0.0
SLN
38
3.7
0.7
0.4
1.2
1985
CHN
106
6.3
0.3
-
0.3
1986
CHN
95
5.3
1.2
0.6
2.1
1987
SFN
110
11.2
2.7
1.6
5.1
1988
SFN
82
5.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
1989
SFN
28
1.7
0.1
-
0.1
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Career Totals
2,258
244.5
30.5
11.0
47.0
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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