Dan Spillner - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Dan Spillner
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1974
SDN
-0.7
-0.0
-2.1
0.1
-2.7
1975
SDN
-0.6
-0.3
-3.1
-0.1
-4.1
1976
SDN
-0.5
0.0
-2.8
-0.3
-3.6
1977
SDN
0.0
-0.0
-1.0
-0.0
-1.0
+
–
1978
0.0
-0.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
CLE
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.7
SDN
0.0
-0.0
-0.5
0.1
-0.4
1979
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
1980
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.8
0.1
-0.7
1981
CLE
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.2
1982
CLE
0.0
0.0
2.9
-0.3
2.6
1983
CLE
0.0
0.0
-1.9
-0.1
-2.0
+
–
1984
0.0
-0.0
-0.5
0.1
-0.4
CHA
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.4
0.0
-0.4
1985
CHA
0.0
-0.0
-0.5
-0.1
-0.6
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-1.7
-0.4
-9.3
-0.7
-12.1
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1974
SDN
0.6
-2.2
1.3
-0.8
1975
SDN
0.7
-3.4
1.4
-2.0
1976
SDN
0.3
-3.3
0.9
-2.4
1977
SDN
-0.0
-1.1
1.0
-0.1
+
–
1978
-0.1
0.3
0.5
0.8
CLE
0.7
0.7
0.4
1.0
SDN
-0.4
-0.4
0.1
-0.2
1979
CLE
-0.0
-0.1
1.0
0.9
1980
CLE
0.1
-0.5
1.6
1.1
1981
CLE
-0.0
0.1
0.7
0.8
1982
CLE
-0.3
2.3
1.5
3.8
1983
CLE
-0.1
-2.1
0.8
-1.3
+
–
1984
-0.0
-0.4
0.5
0.1
CHA
-0.0
-0.0
0.2
0.2
CLE
-0.4
-0.4
0.3
-0.0
1985
CHA
-0.1
-0.7
0.6
-0.1
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------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
1.0
-11.1
11.9
0.8
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1974
SDN
30
9.2
-
-
0.0
1975
SDN
37
9.8
-
-
0.0
1976
SDN
33
5.5
-
-
0.0
1977
SDN
76
5.3
0.2
-
0.2
+
–
1978
53
3.2
0.9
0.5
1.7
CLE
36
2.6
0.9
0.5
1.7
SDN
17
0.7
0.0
-
0.0
1979
CLE
49
7.2
1.2
0.2
1.4
1980
CLE
34
12.2
0.6
-
0.6
1981
CLE
32
7.0
1.8
0.7
2.8
1982
CLE
65
9.6
3.5
2.0
6.4
1983
CLE
60
3.9
0.1
-
0.1
+
–
1984
37
3.4
0.2
-
0.2
CHA
23
1.1
0.1
-
0.1
CLE
14
2.2
0.1
-
0.1
1985
CHA
53
2.9
0.1
-
0.1
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Career Totals
559
79.3
8.5
3.3
13.6
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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