Don Sutton - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Don Sutton
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1966
LAN
-0.8
-0.0
1.9
-0.1
1.0
1967
LAN
-0.6
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.7
1968
LAN
-0.7
-0.1
1.3
0.1
0.6
1969
LAN
-1.7
0.0
0.6
0.2
-0.8
1970
LAN
-0.6
-0.0
-1.9
-0.1
-2.6
1971
LAN
-0.6
-0.2
3.6
-0.1
2.6
1972
LAN
-1.0
0.0
4.1
0.2
3.2
1973
LAN
-1.3
0.0
4.1
-0.0
2.9
1974
LAN
-1.0
-0.0
0.8
0.1
-0.2
1975
LAN
-1.5
-0.1
2.5
-0.0
0.9
1976
LAN
-1.4
0.0
0.7
0.0
-0.7
1977
LAN
-1.0
-0.2
1.2
0.1
0.2
1978
LAN
-1.4
-0.0
-0.6
0.1
-2.0
1979
LAN
-1.1
-0.2
1.3
-0.1
-0.0
1980
LAN
-1.2
-0.0
1.4
-0.2
-0.0
1981
HOU
-0.6
-0.1
2.5
-0.1
1.6
+
1982
-0.7
-0.0
1.5
0.1
0.8
HOU
-0.7
-0.0
1.7
0.1
1.0
MIL
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
1983
MIL
0.0
0.0
0.8
-0.1
0.6
1984
MIL
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.2
+
1985
0.0
0.0
0.9
-0.1
0.8
CAL
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
OAK
0.0
0.0
1.1
-0.1
1.0
1986
CAL
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
1987
CAL
0.0
0.0
-0.7
-0.0
-0.7
1988
LAN
-0.3
-0.0
-0.3
-0.2
-0.8
------
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-17.6
-1.0
25.8
-0.3
6.9
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1966
LAN
1.3
2.3
1.6
3.9
1967
LAN
0.9
0.2
1.7
1.9
1968
LAN
1.1
1.7
1.5
3.2
1969
LAN
1.5
0.8
2.2
3.0
1970
LAN
0.4
-2.2
2.1
-0.1
1971
LAN
2.1
4.7
1.8
6.6
1972
LAN
2.1
5.3
2.0
7.3
1973
LAN
2.5
5.4
2.1
7.5
1974
LAN
1.3
1.2
2.0
3.2
1975
LAN
1.9
2.8
1.9
4.7
1976
LAN
1.2
0.5
2.0
2.5
1977
LAN
1.4
1.6
1.7
3.3
1978
LAN
0.8
-1.3
1.7
0.4
1979
LAN
1.3
1.3
1.6
2.9
1980
LAN
1.1
1.1
1.5
2.5
1981
HOU
1.3
2.9
1.1
4.0
+
1982
1.1
2.0
1.9
3.8
HOU
2.1
2.1
1.4
3.5
MIL
-0.2
-0.2
0.5
0.3
1983
MIL
0.3
0.9
1.5
2.4
1984
MIL
0.1
0.3
1.6
1.9
+
1985
0.3
1.1
1.6
2.7
CAL
-0.2
-0.2
0.2
-0.0
OAK
1.4
1.4
1.4
2.8
1986
CAL
0.1
0.0
1.6
1.6
1987
CAL
-0.1
-0.7
1.5
0.7
1988
LAN
0.3
-0.5
0.7
0.2
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
24.5
31.4
38.8
70.2
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1966
LAN
38
14.0
4.3
2.7
8.3
1967
LAN
43
13.3
1.5
0.1
1.7
1968
LAN
36
12.2
2.6
1.1
4.3
1969
LAN
41
17.8
2.8
0.6
3.6
1970
LAN
40
15.3
0.6
-
0.6
1971
LAN
39
17.1
6.7
4.9
14.0
1972
LAN
33
18.6
7.6
5.6
15.9
1973
LAN
33
19.4
8.1
6.0
17.2
1974
LAN
40
19.1
5.5
3.2
10.3
1975
LAN
35
16.2
4.6
2.7
8.6
1976
LAN
35
16.7
4.1
2.1
7.3
1977
LAN
33
15.5
3.8
1.9
6.7
1978
LAN
34
14.2
1.2
0.2
1.5
1979
LAN
33
12.8
1.8
0.6
2.8
1980
LAN
32
12.4
3.6
2.1
6.7
1981
HOU
23
14.3
5.3
3.7
10.9
+
1982
34
16.3
3.9
2.0
7.0
HOU
27
11.5
3.1
1.7
5.6
MIL
7
4.8
0.8
0.4
1.4
1983
MIL
31
11.3
1.7
0.5
2.4
1984
MIL
33
11.6
1.7
0.2
2.0
+
1985
34
12.5
3.0
1.6
5.3
CAL
5
1.6
0.1
-
0.1
OAK
29
10.9
2.9
1.6
5.3
1986
CAL
34
11.8
2.0
0.5
2.7
1987
CAL
35
10.2
0.5
-
0.5
1988
LAN
16
5.1
0.1
-
0.1
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Career Totals
785
327.7
77.2
42.2
140.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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