Craig Breslow - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Craig Breslow
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2005
SDN
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
2006
BOS
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
2007
-
-
-
-
-
-
+
2008
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.1
0.4
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
MIN
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.1
0.4
+
2009
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
MIN
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
OAK
0.0
0.0
0.5
-0.0
0.5
2010
OAK
0.0
0.0
0.7
-0.0
0.7
2011
OAK
0.0
0.0
-1.2
-0.0
-1.2
+
2012
-0.0
-0.0
0.4
-0.4
-0.0
ARI
-0.0
-0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
BOS
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.0
0.6
2013
BOS
0.0
0.0
1.0
0.1
1.0
2014
BOS
0.0
0.0
-0.9
-0.0
-0.9
2015
BOS
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.1
-0.5
2016
MIA
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.4
+
2017
0.0
0.0
-0.6
0.0
-0.6
CLE
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
MIN
0.0
0.0
-0.7
0.0
-0.7
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.0
-0.0
-1.1
-0.4
-1.5
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2005
SDN
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
2006
BOS
-0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
2007
-
-
-
-
-
+
2008
-0.0
0.4
0.2
0.6
CLE
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
MIN
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.6
+
2009
-0.1
0.1
0.7
0.9
MIN
-0.3
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
OAK
0.4
0.4
0.6
1.0
2010
OAK
-0.1
0.7
0.9
1.5
2011
OAK
-0.1
-1.3
0.5
-0.8
+
2012
-0.1
-0.1
0.5
0.4
ARI
-0.6
-0.6
0.4
-0.3
BOS
0.5
0.5
0.1
0.6
2013
BOS
-0.1
0.9
0.5
1.5
2014
BOS
-0.1
-1.0
0.4
-0.6
2015
BOS
-0.0
-0.5
0.4
-0.1
2016
MIA
-0.0
-0.4
0.2
-0.3
+
2017
-0.0
-0.7
0.2
-0.5
CLE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
MIN
-0.7
-0.7
0.2
-0.5
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.6
-2.1
4.7
2.6
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2005
SDN
14
0.2
0.0
-
0.0
2006
BOS
13
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.1
2007
-
-
-
-
-
-
+
2008
49
1.3
0.7
0.5
1.4
CLE
7
0.0
0.0
-
0.0
MIN
42
1.3
0.7
0.5
1.4
+
2009
77
3.6
1.1
0.5
1.8
MIN
17
0.4
-
-
0.0
OAK
60
3.1
1.1
0.5
1.8
2010
OAK
75
4.2
1.3
0.5
2.1
2011
OAK
67
2.2
0.2
-
0.2
+
2012
63
2.4
0.7
0.4
1.3
ARI
40
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.2
BOS
23
0.8
0.5
0.4
1.1
2013
BOS
61
3.5
1.4
0.8
2.6
2014
BOS
60
1.6
-
-
0.0
2015
BOS
45
2.0
0.1
-
0.1
2016
MIA
15
0.7
-
-
0.0
+
2017
37
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.1
CLE
7
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.1
MIN
30
0.6
-
-
0.0
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------
------
Career Totals
576
22.8
5.7
2.7
9.7
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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