Dave Concepcion - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Dave Concepcion
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1970
CIN
-1.1
0.1
0.0
-0.3
-1.3
1971
CIN
-1.8
0.0
0.0
0.4
-1.4
1972
CIN
-1.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
-1.6
1973
CIN
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.3
1.3
1974
CIN
0.3
0.3
0.0
0.9
1.5
1975
CIN
-0.7
0.3
0.0
0.9
0.5
1976
CIN
0.6
-0.1
0.0
0.3
0.8
1977
CIN
-0.7
0.5
0.0
1.0
0.8
1978
CIN
0.2
-0.4
0.0
0.1
-0.0
1979
CIN
1.1
0.6
0.0
1.0
2.7
1980
CIN
-1.7
0.1
0.0
0.2
-1.5
1981
CIN
0.6
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.2
1982
CIN
-0.4
0.2
0.0
1.0
0.8
1983
CIN
-3.1
-0.0
0.0
0.6
-2.6
1984
CIN
-1.5
-0.2
0.0
-0.3
-2.0
1985
CIN
-2.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.4
-2.7
1986
CIN
-0.8
0.4
0.0
-0.1
-0.6
1987
CIN
-0.5
-0.4
0.0
-0.1
-0.9
1988
CIN
-1.4
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-1.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
-13.9
1.6
0.0
5.9
-6.4
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1970
CIN
0.6
-0.7
0.8
0.1
1971
CIN
0.8
-0.5
1.1
0.5
1972
CIN
0.9
-0.7
1.1
0.4
1973
CIN
1.4
2.7
1.2
3.9
1974
CIN
1.9
3.4
2.0
5.4
1975
CIN
1.7
2.2
1.6
3.8
1976
CIN
1.6
2.4
1.8
4.3
1977
CIN
1.8
2.6
1.8
4.4
1978
CIN
1.8
1.7
1.9
3.6
1979
CIN
2.0
4.6
1.9
6.6
1980
CIN
1.7
0.2
1.8
2.0
1981
CIN
1.3
2.5
1.4
4.0
1982
CIN
1.5
2.3
1.7
3.9
1983
CIN
1.2
-1.4
1.5
0.1
1984
CIN
1.0
-1.1
1.5
0.5
1985
CIN
1.4
-1.3
1.8
0.5
1986
CIN
0.6
0.0
0.9
0.9
1987
CIN
0.2
-0.8
0.8
0.1
1988
CIN
0.2
-1.2
0.5
-0.7
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CAREER (reg. season)
23.4
17.0
27.3
44.3
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1970
CIN
101
8.4
0.8
0.3
1.3
1971
CIN
130
10.0
0.4
-
0.4
1972
CIN
119
12.4
1.1
0.2
1.4
1973
CIN
89
13.1
4.6
3.4
9.7
1974
CIN
160
22.5
6.2
4.2
12.6
1975
CIN
140
18.7
4.9
3.2
9.8
1976
CIN
152
20.6
5.2
3.3
10.1
1977
CIN
156
18.2
3.7
1.9
6.6
1978
CIN
153
20.6
4.3
2.4
7.9
1979
CIN
149
22.1
6.6
4.7
13.7
1980
CIN
156
19.1
3.0
1.1
4.7
1981
CIN
106
23.6
7.1
4.9
14.4
1982
CIN
147
18.1
3.1
1.5
5.3
1983
CIN
143
14.8
0.0
-
0.0
1984
CIN
154
14.9
0.2
-
0.2
1985
CIN
155
18.1
1.7
0.5
2.4
1986
CIN
89
9.4
0.6
0.0
0.6
1987
CIN
104
8.5
0.2
-
0.2
1988
CIN
84
4.3
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
2,487
297.5
53.9
31.7
101.4
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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