Mark Guthrie - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Mark Guthrie
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1989
MIN
0.0
0.0
-1.5
-0.1
-1.6
1990
MIN
0.0
0.0
1.4
-0.2
1.2
1991
MIN
0.0
-0.0
0.6
-0.1
0.4
1992
MIN
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.1
0.6
1993
MIN
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.2
1994
MIN
0.0
0.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.5
+
–
1995
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.1
0.5
LAN
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.2
MIN
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.3
1996
LAN
-0.0
0.0
1.1
-0.2
0.9
1997
LAN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.9
-0.0
-1.0
1998
LAN
-0.0
0.0
-0.3
-0.0
-0.3
+
–
1999
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
BOS
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
CHN
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
+
–
2000
-0.0
-0.1
-0.6
0.0
-0.7
CHN
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
TBA
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
TOR
0.0
0.0
-0.4
0.0
-0.4
2001
OAK
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.3
2002
NYN
-0.0
-0.0
0.7
0.0
0.7
2003
CHN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.9
0.0
-0.9
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
-0.8
-0.9
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1989
MIN
0.0
-1.5
0.4
-1.1
1990
MIN
0.1
1.3
1.1
2.3
1991
MIN
0.0
0.4
0.8
1.3
1992
MIN
-0.1
0.5
0.6
1.2
1993
MIN
-0.0
0.1
0.3
0.4
1994
MIN
-0.0
-0.5
0.5
0.0
+
–
1995
-0.0
0.5
0.6
1.1
LAN
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
MIN
0.2
0.2
0.5
0.7
1996
LAN
-0.1
0.8
0.7
1.5
1997
LAN
-0.0
-1.0
0.7
-0.3
1998
LAN
-0.0
-0.3
0.4
0.0
+
–
1999
-0.0
-0.2
0.4
0.2
BOS
-0.2
-0.2
0.3
0.1
CHN
-0.0
-0.0
0.1
0.1
+
–
2000
0.0
-0.7
0.7
0.1
CHN
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.1
TBA
-0.2
-0.2
0.3
0.2
TOR
-0.4
-0.4
0.2
-0.2
2001
OAK
-0.1
-0.3
0.5
0.2
2002
NYN
-0.1
0.6
0.6
1.2
2003
CHN
-0.0
-0.9
0.5
-0.4
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.3
-1.2
8.9
7.6
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1989
MIN
13
2.8
-
-
0.0
1990
MIN
24
8.8
2.4
1.4
4.5
1991
MIN
42
5.9
0.8
0.4
1.4
1992
MIN
54
3.7
1.3
0.7
2.3
1993
MIN
22
1.4
0.2
0.1
0.3
1994
MIN
50
3.5
0.0
-
0.0
+
–
1995
60
3.7
1.1
0.4
1.8
LAN
24
1.1
0.4
0.2
0.8
MIN
36
2.6
0.7
0.2
1.0
1996
LAN
66
3.6
1.3
0.6
2.3
1997
LAN
62
3.3
-
-
0.0
1998
LAN
53
1.8
0.2
0.0
0.3
+
–
1999
57
1.9
0.3
0.1
0.5
BOS
46
1.4
0.1
-
0.1
CHN
11
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.4
+
–
2000
76
3.5
0.5
0.0
0.6
CHN
19
0.9
0.1
-
0.1
TBA
34
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.3
TOR
23
1.1
0.1
-
0.1
2001
OAK
54
2.4
0.3
0.0
0.4
2002
NYN
68
3.1
1.3
0.7
2.2
2003
CHN
65
2.0
0.1
-
0.1
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------
------
Career Totals
766
51.3
10.0
4.4
16.7
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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