Cliff Heathcote - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Cliff Heathcote
- Decomposition of Value
*
Missing player games extrapolated
(Numbers in italics include some games for which Retrosheet is missing play-by-play data.)
Value decomposition with missing games excluded
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1918
SLN
-0.6
0.5
0.0
0.6
0.4
1919
SLN
0.7
0.5
0.0
0.2
1.5
1920
SLN
-0.5
-0.0
0.0
1.3
0.8
1921
SLN
-0.7
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.5
+
1922
-0.4
0.1
0.0
0.3
-0.0
CHN
-0.1
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
SLN
-0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.2
1923
CHN
-1.4
0.1
0.0
0.6
-0.7
1924
CHN
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.5
-0.0
1925
CHN
-0.4
0.2
0.0
0.6
0.3
1926
CHN
1.1
0.1
0.0
1.1
2.4
1927
CHN
0.5
-0.1
0.0
0.4
0.8
1928
CHN
0.3
0.2
0.0
-0.1
0.3
1929
CHN
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
1930
CHN
0.4
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
0.2
1931
CIN
-0.2
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.3
+
1932
-0.1
0.1
0.0
-0.0
-0.1
CIN
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
PHI
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-1.8
1.4
0.0
5.7
5.3
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1918
SLN
-0.6
-0.1
1.2
1.1
1919
SLN
-0.5
1.0
1.4
2.4
1920
SLN
-0.8
-0.0
1.7
1.7
1921
SLN
-0.2
-0.6
0.6
-0.1
+
1922
-0.4
-0.4
1.1
0.7
CHN
-0.1
-0.1
0.8
0.7
SLN
-0.3
-0.3
0.4
0.0
1923
CHN
-0.9
-1.6
1.4
-0.2
1924
CHN
-0.6
-0.7
1.4
0.7
1925
CHN
-0.6
-0.3
1.4
1.1
1926
CHN
-0.9
1.4
1.9
3.4
1927
CHN
-0.3
0.5
0.8
1.3
1928
CHN
-0.1
0.3
0.5
0.8
1929
CHN
-0.3
-0.1
0.8
0.7
1930
CHN
-0.2
-0.0
0.6
0.5
1931
CIN
-0.4
-0.7
1.0
0.4
+
1932
0.0
-0.1
0.1
0.1
CIN
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
PHI
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-6.6
-1.4
15.9
14.5
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1918
SLN
88
12.7
1.1
-
1.1
1919
SLN
114
13.3
1.2
0.5
2.0
1920
SLN
133
18.4
2.0
0.2
2.4
1921
SLN
62
5.2
-
-
0.0
+
1922
110
12.0
1.1
0.4
1.7
CHN
76
8.3
1.1
0.4
1.7
SLN
34
3.7
0.0
-
0.0
1923
CHN
117
13.9
0.3
-
0.3
1924
CHN
113
14.5
1.4
0.3
1.8
1925
CHN
109
14.8
1.1
-
1.1
1926
CHN
139
22.3
4.5
2.5
8.2
1927
CHN
83
8.4
1.1
0.3
1.5
1928
CHN
66
5.1
0.4
0.1
0.6
1929
CHN
84
7.8
0.8
-
0.8
1930
CHN
70
4.9
0.3
-
0.3
1931
CIN
89
9.8
0.2
-
0.2
+
1932
38
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
CIN
8
0.0
-
-
0.0
PHI
30
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
1,415
164.0
15.6
4.3
22.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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