Dan Schatzeder - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Dan Schatzeder
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1977
MON
0.1
0.0
0.6
0.1
0.8
1978
MON
0.1
-0.1
-1.2
-0.1
-1.2
1979
MON
-0.1
0.0
1.2
-0.1
1.1
1980
DET
0.0
0.0
1.0
0.1
1.0
1981
DET
0.0
0.0
-1.8
0.0
-1.8
+
1982
-0.1
-0.0
-1.7
-0.0
-1.8
MON
0.0
-0.0
-0.3
-0.0
-0.3
SFN
-0.1
-0.0
-1.3
-0.0
-1.4
1983
MON
0.1
-0.0
0.4
-0.0
0.4
1984
MON
0.2
0.0
0.6
-0.1
0.7
1985
MON
-0.1
-0.1
-0.4
0.0
-0.6
+
1986
0.2
0.0
-0.8
-0.0
-0.6
MON
0.2
0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.3
PHI
0.0
-0.0
-0.3
-0.0
-0.4
+
1987
-0.1
0.0
-1.1
0.1
-1.1
MIN
0.0
0.0
-0.7
0.1
-0.7
PHI
-0.1
0.0
-0.3
-0.0
-0.4
+
1988
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
MIN
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
1989
HOU
-0.1
-0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.1
+
1990
0.1
-0.0
-1.2
0.0
-1.2
HOU
0.1
-0.0
-1.3
0.0
-1.3
NYN
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.1
1991
KCA
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
0.3
-0.1
-4.5
-0.2
-4.5
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1977
MON
0.1
0.8
0.2
1.1
1978
MON
0.5
-0.7
0.9
0.1
1979
MON
0.5
1.6
1.1
2.7
1980
DET
0.1
1.2
1.4
2.6
1981
DET
0.0
-1.7
0.7
-1.0
+
1982
0.1
-1.7
0.5
-1.2
MON
-0.3
-0.3
0.2
-0.2
SFN
-1.4
-1.4
0.3
-1.0
1983
MON
-0.0
0.4
0.6
1.0
1984
MON
0.4
1.1
0.9
2.0
1985
MON
0.4
-0.2
0.7
0.5
+
1986
0.0
-0.6
0.6
-0.0
MON
-0.2
-0.2
0.3
0.1
PHI
-0.4
-0.4
0.3
-0.1
+
1987
-0.0
-1.1
0.5
-0.6
MIN
-0.7
-0.7
0.3
-0.4
PHI
-0.4
-0.4
0.2
-0.2
+
1988
-0.0
-0.2
0.2
0.0
CLE
-0.2
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
MIN
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
1989
HOU
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.5
+
1990
-0.0
-1.2
0.4
-0.8
HOU
-1.3
-1.3
0.4
-0.9
NYN
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.1
1991
KCA
-0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
2.1
-2.5
9.1
6.6
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1977
MON
6
2.1
0.9
0.7
2.0
1978
MON
32
7.2
0.8
0.3
1.2
1979
MON
32
9.5
2.4
1.3
4.3
1980
DET
32
11.4
2.8
1.4
4.8
1981
DET
17
6.4
-
-
0.0
+
1982
39
2.7
0.2
0.1
0.3
MON
26
1.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
SFN
13
1.7
-
-
0.0
1983
MON
58
4.1
1.0
0.4
1.6
1984
MON
37
7.6
1.8
0.9
3.1
1985
MON
24
5.2
0.3
-
0.3
+
1986
58
3.3
0.4
0.3
0.8
MON
33
1.9
0.4
0.3
0.8
PHI
25
1.4
-
-
0.0
+
1987
56
2.9
0.2
0.1
0.3
MIN
30
1.8
0.1
0.1
0.2
PHI
26
1.0
0.1
-
0.1
+
1988
25
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.1
CLE
15
0.5
-
-
0.0
MIN
10
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.1
1989
HOU
36
2.2
0.3
0.1
0.3
+
1990
51
2.2
0.4
0.2
0.7
HOU
45
2.0
0.3
0.1
0.4
NYN
6
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
1991
KCA
8
0.1
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
511
67.8
11.4
5.5
19.7
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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