Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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1977 Season

The 1977 Season as seen through the Prism of Player Won-Lost Records

Next up in my ongoing series on the seasons for which Player won-lost records have been calculated is the first season which I followed closely from beginning to end and the first season in which I attended a live major-league baseball game: 1977.

The Best of 1977

I calculate Player won-lost records two ways: pWins, which tie to team wins and eWins, which control for context and the ability of one's teammates. For players with more pWins than eWins, their Player wins contributed to more team wins than one might expect; for players with more eWins than pWins, just the opposite is true: their Player wins translated into fewer team wins than expected. Or more briefly: a player with more pWins than eWins was better in context, a player with more eWins than pWins was worse in context.

The top 10 players in pWins above Positional Average and Replacement Level were as follows.

pWins over Positional Average
Top 10 Players
pWins over Replacement Level
Top 10 Players
Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL
1Joe L. Morgan22.114.97.9
9.7
1Joe L. Morgan22.114.97.9
9.7
2Tom Seaver19.012.37.7
9.6
2Tom Seaver19.012.37.7
9.6
3George Foster27.419.36.9
9.3
3George Foster27.419.36.9
9.3
4Davey Lopes19.813.76.7
8.4
4Davey Lopes19.813.76.7
8.4
5John Candelaria16.210.56.6
8.1
5John Candelaria16.210.56.6
8.1
6Carlton Fisk18.412.06.4
8.0
6Carlton Fisk18.412.06.4
8.0
7Rick Reuschel17.912.96.1
7.9
7Greg Luzinski23.716.75.9
7.9
8Graig Nettles21.515.35.9
7.8
8Rick Reuschel17.912.96.1
7.9
9Mike Schmidt21.615.15.9
7.7
9Steve Carlton20.315.65.7
7.8
10Greg Luzinski23.716.75.9
7.9
10Graig Nettles21.515.35.9
7.8


The top 10 players in eWins above Positional Average and Replacement Level were as follows.

eWins over Positional Average
Top 10 Players
eWins over Replacement Level
Top 10 Players
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1Joe L. Morgan21.715.27.1
9.0
1Joe L. Morgan21.715.27.1
9.0
2George Foster27.219.66.3
8.7
2George Foster27.219.66.3
8.7
3Tom Seaver18.213.16.3
8.2
3Tom Seaver18.213.16.3
8.2
4Mike Schmidt21.515.15.7
7.6
4Mike Schmidt21.515.15.7
7.6
5Mitchell Page22.316.25.5
7.4
5Mitchell Page22.316.25.5
7.4
6Rod Carew19.813.55.4
7.1
6Jim Palmer18.313.35.1
7.3
7Jim Palmer18.313.35.1
7.3
7Rod Carew19.813.55.4
7.1
8Dave Parker25.218.74.7
6.9
8Dave Parker25.218.74.7
6.9
9Dennis Leonard17.513.14.6
6.7
9Dennis Leonard17.513.14.6
6.7
10Reggie Smith21.915.84.6
6.5
10J.R. Richard18.414.94.5
6.6


I take a look at some of the most interesting players of 1977 at the end of this article.

1977 Postseason

Three of the four playoff teams in 1977 were repeat division winners from 1976: the Yankees, Royals, and Phillies. The only variety was that the Los Angeles Dodgers supplanted the two-time defending World Champion Cincinnati Reds in the NL West. As if that wasn't boring enough for fans of variety and/or other teams, the same four teams repeated again in 1978, right down to the same winners of each of the three postseason series.

Probably the most enduring memory from the 1977 postseason was Reggie Jackson's three home runs in Game 6 of the World Series. Jackson had an outstanding World Series for the Yankees that season, which more than made up for a disappointing ALCS in which he batted .125/.222/.125.

In addition to Jackson, the best players in the 1977 postseason, as measured by pWins over replacement level were fellow Yankees Ron Guidry, Mickey Rivers, and Mike Torrez, and Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Dusty Baker. I have no recollection of Mike Torrez playing for the Yankees; when I think "Mike Torrez" and "Yankees", this game comes to mind, along with the name Bucky Dent.

The best of the 1977 postseason in table form:

1977 Postseason: Total
Player Team pWins pLosses pWORL
Ron GuidryNYA1.60.80.9
Mickey RiversNYA1.71.00.8
Mike TorrezNYA1.81.40.7
Sparky LyleNYA0.90.40.7
Reggie JacksonNYA1.50.90.6
Lou PiniellaNYA1.91.40.6
Dusty BakerLAN1.81.30.6
Cliff JohnsonHOU0.70.20.6
Ron CeyLAN1.51.00.6
Hal McRaeKCA0.90.50.5


Top postseason players by round were as follows.

1977 World Series
Player Team pWins pLosses Net Wins
Reggie JacksonNYA1.30.50.8
Chris ChamblissNYA0.80.30.5
Ron GuidryNYA0.90.50.4
Thurman MunsonNYA0.60.40.3
Mike TorrezNYA1.21.00.2

1977 Postseason: League Championship Series
Player Team pWins pLosses Net Wins
Dusty BakerLAN1.10.30.7
Cliff JohnsonHOU0.70.20.5
Mickey RiversNYA0.90.40.5
Hal McRaeKCA0.90.50.5
Ron CeyLAN0.70.30.4


Best of 1977 by Factor and Position

Next, let's look at the top players in various aspects of the game.
Best by Factor: Batting, Baserunning, Pitching, Fielding
There are four basic factors for which players earn Player won-lost records: Batting, Baserunning, Pitching, and Fielding. The top players in 1977 in wins over positional average (WOPA) by factor were as follows.

Batting
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLoss eWOPA Player pWins pLoss pWOPA
1George Foster18.812.3
6.1
1Greg Luzinski18.210.47.5
2Greg Luzinski17.211.5
5.3
2George Foster19.411.77.2
3Reggie Smith14.79.2
5.1
3Ken Singleton15.79.16.6
4Ken Singleton14.89.9
4.9
4Reggie Jackson15.89.36.4
5Mike Schmidt14.49.4
4.6
5Carlton Fisk14.69.65.1
6Rod Carew14.910.3
4.5
6Graig Nettles15.210.54.7
7Reggie Jackson14.710.4
4.3
7Mike Schmidt14.49.44.7
8Bobby Bonds16.612.6
4.0
8Joe L. Morgan14.19.14.7
9Joe L. Morgan13.89.5
3.9
9Oscar Gamble11.87.14.7
10Oscar Gamble11.37.6
3.8
10Al Cowens15.410.84.6
Positional Average excludes pitcher offense
Baserunning
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLoss eWOPA Player pWins pLoss pWOPA
1Gene Richards2.71.5
1.1
1Toby Harrah1.90.91.0
2Larry Bowa1.70.7
1.0
2Rod Carew2.21.21.0
3Cesar Cedeno2.51.5
0.9
3Davey Lopes2.51.60.9
4Mitchell Page1.91.0
0.9
4Larry Bowa1.70.80.8
5Frank Taveras2.31.4
0.9
5George Brett1.81.00.8
6Davey Lopes2.51.6
0.8
6Joe L. Morgan2.21.40.8
7Rod Carew2.11.3
0.8
7Carl Yastrzemski1.30.50.7
8Toby Harrah1.71.1
0.6
8Lyman Bostock Jr.1.81.10.7
9Al Bumbry1.61.0
0.6
9Mitchell Page1.71.10.6
10Steve Henderson1.40.8
0.6
10Amos Otis1.20.60.6
Positional Average excludes pitcher offense
Pitching
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLoss Net eWins Player pWins pLoss Net pWins
1Tom Seaver15.611.5
4.1
1Tom Seaver16.810.36.5
2Steve Rogers17.814.2
3.7
2John Candelaria14.48.75.7
3Dennis Leonard16.813.2
3.6
3Rick Reuschel15.910.65.2
4Bruce Sutter8.75.3
3.5
4Dennis Leonard17.612.45.2
5Jim Palmer17.113.7
3.4
5Bruce Sutter9.54.55.1
6Ron Guidry12.79.4
3.3
6Tommy John14.59.55.0
7Rich Gossage10.47.2
3.2
7Jim Palmer17.813.04.8
8Frank Tanana14.311.0
3.2
8Ron Guidry13.28.94.4
9Rick Reuschel14.811.7
3.1
9Steve Carlton17.513.64.0
10Nolan Ryan19.316.2
3.1
10Frank Tanana14.610.74.0


Fielding by Position


Fielding, P
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Jim Palmer0.60.2
0.3
1Jim Palmer0.60.20.4
2Bert Blyleven0.50.3
0.3
2Joe Niekro0.50.10.3
3Joe Niekro0.40.2
0.2
3Geoff Zahn0.40.10.3
4Bill Bonham0.50.2
0.2
4Dennis Martinez0.40.10.3
5Ken Brett0.40.2
0.2
5Gary Lavelle0.40.10.3


Fielding, C
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Carlton Fisk2.21.5
0.7
1Carlton Fisk2.41.41.0
2Jim Sundberg2.01.4
0.6
2Jim Sundberg2.11.20.9
3Ted Simmons2.41.9
0.5
3Bob Boone2.21.50.7
4Bob Boone2.11.6
0.5
4Dave Skaggs1.30.80.5
5Terry Humphrey2.11.7
0.4
5Steve Yeager2.01.50.5


Fielding, 1B
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Steve Garvey2.92.2
0.6
1Steve Garvey3.02.10.8
2Rod Carew2.62.1
0.5
2Keith Hernandez2.92.20.8
3Mike Hargrove2.42.1
0.4
3Rod Carew2.72.00.7
4Dan T. Meyer2.62.3
0.3
4Bill Robinson1.40.80.6
5Bill Robinson1.30.9
0.3
5Mike Hargrove2.52.00.5


Fielding, 2B
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Joe L. Morgan5.54.5
1.0
1Frank White5.54.01.4
2Mike Tyson5.34.4
0.9
2Joe L. Morgan5.74.31.4
3Frank White5.24.4
0.8
3Davey Lopes5.23.91.3
4Davey Lopes4.94.2
0.8
4Mike Tyson5.44.31.1
5Willie Randolph5.75.1
0.7
5Bob Randall3.82.80.9


Fielding, 3B
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Mike Schmidt5.64.5
1.1
1Graig Nettles5.33.81.5
2Ron Cey5.74.9
0.7
2Doug DeCinces5.54.11.4
3Wayne Garrett1.71.1
0.6
3Mike Schmidt5.74.41.3
4Doug DeCinces5.14.5
0.6
4Ron Cey5.94.71.2
5Ken Reitz4.23.6
0.5
5Ken Reitz4.43.40.9


Fielding, SS
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Larry Bowa6.95.1
1.8
1Bill E. Russell7.95.92.0
2Dave Concepcion7.26.2
1.0
2Mark Belanger6.34.61.7
3Tim Foli5.24.4
0.8
3Larry Bowa6.85.21.6
4Bucky Dent5.95.2
0.8
4Rick Burleson7.05.61.4
5Rick Burleson6.76.0
0.7
5Freddie Patek6.14.71.4


Fielding, LF
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Mitchell Page7.06.0
1.1
1Larry Biittner2.21.21.0
2Joe Rudi2.41.7
0.7
2Joe Rudi2.51.60.9
3Dusty Baker5.95.3
0.5
3Tom Poquette3.83.00.9
4Warren Cromartie7.06.4
0.5
4Al Oliver4.94.20.7
5Gene Richards3.73.2
0.5
5Roy White5.44.70.7


Fielding, CF
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Amos Otis5.04.0
1.0
1Amos Otis5.53.51.9
2Omar Moreno4.93.9
1.0
2Jerry Mumphrey3.72.21.4
3Jerry Mumphrey3.42.5
1.0
3Omar Moreno4.93.81.1
4Tony Armas Sr.3.62.9
0.7
4Chet Lemon7.16.01.1
5Cesar Cedeno5.95.4
0.5
5Tony Armas Sr.3.72.90.8


Fielding, RF
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Dave Parker9.36.5
2.8
1Dave Parker9.56.33.2
2Bobby Murcer5.33.9
1.4
2Bake McBride3.21.61.6
3Dave Winfield7.97.0
1.0
3Al Cowens6.45.21.1
4Steve Bowling2.01.2
0.9
4Reggie Smith6.35.21.1
5Al Cowens6.25.4
0.8
5Bobby Murcer5.14.11.0


Best by Position
Next, we look at 1977 Major-League leaders by position. The figures shown here only include Player decisions earned while playing this particular position.

Catcher
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Carlton Fisk17.213.0
4.2
1Carlton Fisk18.411.86.6
2Ted Simmons17.513.5
3.7
2Johnny Bench15.211.33.6
3Johnny Bench14.911.5
3.1
3Ted Simmons17.413.63.5
4Gary Carter15.913.0
2.6
4Thurman Munson15.913.72.2
5Joe Ferguson13.811.2
2.3
5Joe Ferguson13.711.22.2


First Base
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Rod Carew19.113.4
4.9
1Rod Carew19.113.44.8
2Bob Watson18.114.3
2.4
2Bill Robinson11.96.94.2
3Andre Thornton13.910.9
2.3
3Bob Watson18.913.64.0
4Mike Hargrove15.512.9
1.8
4Keith Hernandez18.114.12.7
5Steve Garvey18.015.0
1.5
5Richie Hebner11.37.92.6


Second Base
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Joe L. Morgan21.315.3
6.6
1Joe L. Morgan21.914.77.8
2Davey Lopes18.015.3
3.3
2Davey Lopes19.613.76.5
3Don Money14.112.9
2.1
3Rennie Stennett15.012.62.9
4Willie Randolph17.917.1
1.8
4Willie Randolph18.416.62.8
5Bump Wills18.217.7
1.7
5Jorge Orta17.015.52.5


Third Base
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Mike Schmidt21.115.2
5.2
1Mike Schmidt21.514.96.0
2Toby Harrah19.515.8
3.5
2Graig Nettles21.315.25.8
3George Brett19.716.5
2.9
3George Brett21.015.25.5
4Ron Cey21.418.2
2.5
4Toby Harrah19.915.34.4
5Graig Nettles19.616.9
2.3
5Doug DeCinces18.614.73.6


Shortstop
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Dave Concepcion18.417.3
2.6
1Garry Templeton20.619.03.2
2Garry Templeton20.319.4
2.6
2Freddie Patek16.515.23.0
3Larry Bowa18.117.4
2.3
3Rick Burleson20.119.52.8
4Bert Campaneris19.220.0
1.5
4Bill E. Russell20.119.32.6
5Rick Burleson19.420.3
1.4
5Larry Bowa18.217.42.5


Left Field
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Mitchell Page20.615.4
4.6
1Greg Luzinski23.717.85.9
2George Foster21.416.7
3.6
2George Foster21.916.74.7
3Greg Luzinski22.617.8
3.6
3Joe Rudi9.77.03.0
4Carl Yastrzemski20.617.4
2.6
4Dusty Baker19.415.82.8
5Dusty Baker19.315.8
2.4
5Carl Yastrzemski20.717.42.7


Center Field
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Cesar Cedeno20.217.0
2.5
1Amos Otis17.312.44.7
2George Foster5.63.1
2.3
2Mickey Rivers19.816.62.9
3George Hendrick18.615.6
2.3
3Lyman Bostock Jr.13.310.92.2
4Lyman Bostock Jr.13.410.9
2.2
4George Foster5.53.22.2
5Amos Otis16.013.7
2.0
5Chet Lemon19.617.12.2


Right Field
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Dave Parker25.118.8
4.5
1Reggie Jackson20.614.25.4
2Reggie Smith21.115.5
4.1
2Dave Parker25.418.55.1
3Ken Singleton20.616.6
2.8
3Ken Singleton21.515.64.9
4Reggie Jackson19.215.7
2.4
4Reggie Smith21.415.24.7
5Dave Winfield24.020.1
2.1
5Al Cowens20.315.24.1


Starting Pitcher
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Tom Seaver15.911.7
4.4
1Tom Seaver17.110.46.9
2Jim Palmer17.713.9
4.0
2John Candelaria14.68.95.9
3Steve Rogers18.314.7
3.8
3Rick Reuschel16.311.05.4
4Dennis Leonard17.013.6
3.6
4Tommy John15.19.95.3
5Ron Guidry12.59.2
3.4
5Jim Palmer18.413.25.3
6Frank Tanana14.711.4
3.4
6Dennis Leonard17.912.85.3
7Rick Reuschel15.212.1
3.2
7Ron Guidry13.18.64.6
8Nolan Ryan19.616.8
3.0
8Frank Tanana15.111.14.2
9Bert Blyleven13.510.6
3.0
9Steve Carlton17.913.94.1
10Burt Hooton12.910.1
3.0
10Steve Rogers18.514.64.1


Relief Pitcher
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Bruce Sutter9.15.5
3.4
1Bruce Sutter9.94.75.0
2Rich Gossage10.67.4
3.0
2Sparky Lyle10.26.33.7
3Gary Lavelle8.25.6
2.4
3Bill Campbell12.28.33.7
4Bill Campbell11.49.1
2.1
4Rich Gossage10.97.13.5
5Gene Garber6.84.6
2.0
5Gary Lavelle8.75.13.4
6Sparky Lyle9.17.4
1.6
6Lerrin LaGrow7.44.32.9
7Kent Tekulve5.23.7
1.3
7Adrian Devine6.73.82.7
8Skip Lockwood6.55.2
1.2
8Ron Reed6.03.52.4
9Tug McGraw4.43.2
1.2
9Don Stanhouse4.42.22.2
10Adrian Devine5.94.6
1.1
10Tom R. Johnson8.66.42.0


Designated Hitter
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Jim Rice12.28.9
3.1
1Jim Rice12.38.93.2
2Hal McRae11.29.4
1.6
2Oscar Gamble7.34.42.8
3Oscar Gamble6.75.0
1.5
3Pete LaCock2.71.61.1


Finally, here are the best at three oft-forgotten positions that can nevertheless matter: pitcher offense, pinch hitting, and pinch running.

Pitcher Offense
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Steve Carlton2.02.1
0.9
1Steve Carlton2.41.71.5
2J.R. Richard1.51.6
0.6
2Tom Seaver1.81.90.8
3Rick Rhoden1.21.6
0.4
3J.R. Richard1.51.50.7


Pinch Hitter
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Manny Mota2.01.3
0.8
1Craig Kusick2.11.31.0
2Jack Clark1.60.8
0.8
2Davey Johnson1.60.71.0
3Ed Kranepool1.81.1
0.8
3Joe Zdeb1.20.50.8


Pinch Runner
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Matt Alexander1.10.9
0.4
1Matt Alexander1.10.90.4
2Eddie L. Miller0.30.0
0.2
2Eddie L. Miller0.30.00.3
3Wilbur Howard0.20.0
0.2
3Johnny Oates0.20.00.2


Noteworthy Players of 1977

Joe Morgan
The top player on each of the first four tables in this article (pWOPA, pWORL, eWOPA, and eWORL) is Joe Morgan. This was the last year of a 6-year run by Morgan in which he was clearly the best player in baseball. As measured by pWORL, this run by Morgan was one of the finest 6-year run of any player in the past ninety years. Joe Morgan's record from 1972 - 1977 is shown below.

Season Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1972
149
25.716.10.61510.2
12.3
24.517.40.5857.79.8
1973
157
26.817.20.6099.7
11.9
25.818.20.5877.89.9
1974
149
23.816.90.5857.4
9.2
23.816.90.5857.39.2
1975
146
24.315.40.6119.0
10.8
23.716.00.5977.89.7
1976
141
23.214.40.6179.2
11.0
22.714.90.6048.210.1
1977
153
22.114.90.5987.9
9.7
21.715.20.5887.19.0


The next table shows the top 10 six-year runs since 1930 (basically, since Babe Ruth's prime), as measured by pWins over replacement level (pWORL).