Jason Grilli - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jason Grilli
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2000
FLO
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
2001
FLO
0.1
0.0
-0.4
0.0
-0.2
2002
-
-
-
-
-
-
2003
-
-
-
-
-
-
2004
CHA
0.0
0.0
-1.6
-0.0
-1.6
2005
DET
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
2006
DET
0.0
0.0
-0.3
-0.0
-0.3
2007
DET
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.2
+
2008
-0.1
0.0
0.1
-0.0
-0.0
COL
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.1
0.0
DET
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
+
2009
-0.0
0.0
-0.8
-0.0
-0.9
COL
-0.0
0.0
-0.6
-0.1
-0.7
TEX
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.2
2010
-
-
-
-
-
-
2011
PIT
-0.0
-0.0
0.8
0.2
0.9
2012
PIT
0.0
0.0
1.3
0.0
1.3
2013
PIT
0.0
0.0
2.5
-0.0
2.4
+
2014
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
ANA
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
PIT
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
2015
ATL
0.0
0.0
1.8
0.0
1.8
+
2016
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.3
ATL
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
TOR
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.1
0.5
+
2017
0.0
0.0
-1.2
-0.0
-1.2
TEX
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
TOR
0.0
0.0
-1.1
-0.0
-1.1
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
0.1
0.0
2.3
0.4
2.8
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2000
FLO
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
2001
FLO
0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.2
2002
-
-
-
-
-
2003
-
-
-
-
-
2004
CHA
0.0
-1.5
0.4
-1.1
2005
DET
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
2006
DET
-0.1
-0.3
0.4
0.1
2007
DET
-0.1
-0.3
0.6
0.2
+
2008
-0.0
-0.0
0.6
0.5
COL
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.5
DET
-0.0
-0.0
0.1
0.1
+
2009
-0.1
-0.9
0.4
-0.5
COL
-0.7
-0.7
0.2
-0.5
TEX
-0.2
-0.2
0.3
0.0
2010
-
-
-
-
-
2011
PIT
-0.1
0.9
0.3
1.2
2012
PIT
-0.2
1.1
0.9
2.0
2013
PIT
-0.1
2.3
0.7
3.0
+
2014
-0.1
-0.1
0.7
0.6
ANA
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.4
PIT
-0.2
-0.2
0.4
0.2
2015
ATL
-0.1
1.7
0.6
2.2
+
2016
-0.2
0.1
0.9
1.0
ATL
-0.3
-0.3
0.2
-0.0
TOR
0.4
0.4
0.6
1.0
+
2017
-0.1
-1.2
0.5
-0.7
TEX
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.1
TOR
-1.2
-1.2
0.3
-0.8
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.9
1.9
7.3
9.2
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2000
FLO
1
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.4
2001
FLO
6
1.9
0.1
-
0.1
2002
-
-
-
-
-
-
2003
-
-
-
-
-
-
2004
CHA
8
2.2
-
-
0.0
2005
DET
3
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.3
2006
DET
51
2.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
2007
DET
57
2.9
0.5
0.1
0.7
+
2008
60
3.1
0.8
0.3
1.2
COL
51
2.5
0.6
0.2
0.9
DET
9
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.3
+
2009
52
2.1
0.3
0.1
0.4
COL
22
0.7
-
-
0.0
TEX
30
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.4
2010
-
-
-
-
-
-
2011
PIT
28
2.1
0.9
0.6
1.8
2012
PIT
64
5.2
1.5
0.6
2.4
2013
PIT
54
4.4
2.3
1.7
4.8
+
2014
62
3.7
0.7
0.3
1.1
ANA
40
2.0
0.6
0.3
1.0
PIT
22
1.7
0.1
-
0.1
2015
ATL
36
3.4
1.6
1.0
3.1
+
2016
67
4.9
1.1
0.4
1.7
ATL
21
1.1
0.0
-
0.0
TOR
46
3.7
1.1
0.4
1.7
+
2017
46
2.0
0.1
-
0.1
TEX
20
0.8
0.1
-
0.1
TOR
26
1.2
-
-
0.0
------
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Career Totals
595
41.1
10.5
5.3
18.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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