Ted Lilly - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Ted Lilly
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1999
MON
-0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
2000
NYA
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2001
NYA
-0.1
-0.0
-1.1
-0.0
-1.2
+
2002
-0.1
-0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
NYA
-0.1
-0.0
0.3
0.1
0.3
OAK
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
2003
OAK
-0.1
-0.0
-0.9
0.1
-0.9
2004
TOR
-0.1
-0.0
0.5
-0.0
0.4
2005
TOR
-0.1
-0.0
-1.8
0.0
-1.9
2006
TOR
-0.0
-0.0
-1.3
-0.0
-1.3
2007
CHN
-1.1
-0.0
1.7
-0.1
0.5
2008
CHN
-0.7
0.1
0.2
0.0
-0.3
2009
CHN
-1.0
-0.1
1.7
-0.2
0.4
+
2010
-1.2
0.0
1.1
-0.1
-0.1
CHN
-0.7
0.0
0.3
-0.1
-0.6
LAN
-0.4
0.0
0.9
0.0
0.5
2011
LAN
-1.3
-0.0
-0.4
0.0
-1.7
2012
LAN
-0.3
-0.0
0.4
0.0
0.2
2013
LAN
-0.1
-0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.5
------
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------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-6.0
-0.0
-0.3
-0.3
-6.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1999
MON
0.0
-0.3
0.2
-0.1
2000
NYA
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2001
NYA
-0.1
-1.3
1.1
-0.2
+
2002
0.2
0.3
0.8
1.1
NYA
0.5
0.5
0.6
1.1
OAK
-0.2
-0.2
0.2
0.0
2003
OAK
0.0
-0.9
1.5
0.6
2004
TOR
0.4
0.8
1.7
2.5
2005
TOR
-0.3
-2.1
1.3
-0.8
2006
TOR
-0.1
-1.4
1.6
0.2
2007
CHN
1.5
1.9
1.6
3.5
2008
CHN
1.3
1.0
1.7
2.7
2009
CHN
1.3
1.7
1.5
3.2
+
2010
1.1
1.0
1.8
2.8
CHN
-0.0
-0.0
1.1
1.0
LAN
1.0
1.0
0.7
1.7
2011
LAN
0.9
-0.8
1.5
0.7
2012
LAN
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.8
2013
LAN
-0.1
-0.6
0.2
-0.4
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CAREER (reg. season)
6.3
-0.2
16.7
16.5
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1999
MON
9
1.0
-
-
0.0
2000
NYA
7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2001
NYA
26
7.2
0.2
-
0.2
+
2002
22
6.0
0.9
0.2
1.2
NYA
16
4.6
0.8
0.2
1.2
OAK
6
1.4
0.1
-
0.1
2003
OAK
32
10.6
1.0
0.2
1.2
2004
TOR
32
12.6
2.3
0.6
3.3
2005
TOR
25
8.4
-
-
0.0
2006
TOR
32
11.5
0.9
0.0
0.9
2007
CHN
34
13.1
3.8
2.3
7.2
2008
CHN
34
13.8
3.5
1.8
6.2
2009
CHN
27
12.1
3.4
1.9
6.2
+
2010
30
13.5
2.4
1.2
4.1
CHN
18
7.7
0.5
-
0.5
LAN
12
5.9
1.9
1.2
3.6
2011
LAN
34
11.5
0.7
-
0.7
2012
LAN
8
2.8
0.9
0.5
1.7
2013
LAN
5
1.0
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
357
125.1
20.0
8.7
33.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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