Larry McWilliams - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
Home
Larry McWilliams
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1978
ATL
-0.7
0.0
1.8
0.1
1.3
1979
ATL
-0.2
0.0
0.8
0.1
0.8
1980
ATL
-0.3
-0.0
-3.6
-0.0
-3.9
1981
ATL
-0.2
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.5
+
1982
-0.5
-0.0
1.2
0.2
0.9
ATL
-0.1
0.0
-0.7
0.0
-0.7
PIT
-0.4
-0.1
1.9
0.1
1.6
1983
PIT
-0.7
-0.0
2.6
-0.1
1.7
1984
PIT
-1.0
-0.3
0.2
0.2
-1.0
1985
PIT
-0.5
-0.0
-1.2
0.0
-1.7
1986
PIT
-0.3
-0.1
-3.7
0.1
-3.9
1987
ATL
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
1988
SLN
0.2
0.0
-3.0
-0.0
-2.8
+
1989
-0.7
-0.0
-0.9
-0.1
-1.8
KCA
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
PHI
-0.7
-0.0
-1.4
-0.1
-2.2
1990
KCA
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-4.9
-0.5
-5.1
0.4
-10.1
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1978
ATL
0.5
1.8
0.7
2.4
1979
ATL
0.2
1.0
0.4
1.4
1980
ATL
0.5
-3.5
1.4
-2.1
1981
ATL
0.1
0.7
0.2
0.9
+
1982
0.5
1.4
1.1
2.5
ATL
-0.7
-0.7
0.3
-0.4
PIT
2.0
2.0
0.8
2.9
1983
PIT
1.0
2.7
1.6
4.3
1984
PIT
1.1
0.1
1.5
1.5
1985
PIT
0.5
-1.3
0.9
-0.3
1986
PIT
0.3
-3.6
1.0
-2.6
1987
ATL
0.1
-0.2
0.1
-0.0
1988
SLN
0.4
-2.4
1.1
-1.3
+
1989
0.5
-1.3
1.1
-0.2
KCA
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.7
PHI
-1.8
-1.8
0.9
-0.9
1990
KCA
-0.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
5.5
-4.6
11.3
6.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1978
ATL
15
6.1
1.7
1.1
3.3
1979
ATL
13
3.9
1.1
0.7
2.2
1980
ATL
30
9.6
-
-
0.0
1981
ATL
6
3.1
1.3
1.0
2.8
+
1982
47
9.3
2.6
1.8
5.2
ATL
27
1.8
-
-
0.0
PIT
20
7.5
2.6
1.8
5.2
1983
PIT
35
14.3
3.6
2.0
6.6
1984
PIT
36
11.7
1.3
0.0
1.3
1985
PIT
32
6.5
-
-
0.0
1986
PIT
50
5.9
-
-
0.0
1987
ATL
9
0.8
0.1
-
0.1
1988
SLN
45
7.4
-
-
0.0
+
1989
49
8.1
1.2
0.5
1.9
KCA
8
2.0
0.6
0.4
1.2
PHI
41
6.1
0.5
0.1
0.7
1990
KCA
13
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.3
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
380
87.1
13.1
7.1
23.7
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
Home