Jim Spencer - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jim Spencer
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1968
CAL
-0.7
-0.4
0.0
0.1
-0.9
1969
CAL
-0.9
-0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.6
1970
CAL
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.4
1.8
1971
CAL
-1.4
0.1
0.0
-0.0
-1.3
1972
CAL
-2.4
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-2.5
+
–
1973
-1.4
-0.3
0.0
-0.1
-1.8
CAL
-0.2
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.2
TEX
-1.3
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
-1.6
1974
TEX
0.6
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.6
1975
TEX
-1.4
-0.2
0.0
0.5
-1.0
1976
CHA
-0.8
-0.4
0.0
0.3
-1.0
1977
CHA
0.2
-0.3
0.0
-0.0
-0.1
1978
NYA
1.1
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
1.1
1979
NYA
1.7
0.1
0.0
-0.1
1.7
1980
NYA
1.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.1
0.4
+
–
1981
-1.4
0.0
0.0
0.1
-1.2
NYA
-0.4
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.3
OAK
-1.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.9
1982
OAK
-0.4
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.5
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-5.1
-1.6
0.0
1.3
-5.4
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1968
CAL
-0.2
-1.1
0.2
-0.9
1969
CAL
-0.9
-1.6
1.0
-0.5
1970
CAL
-1.2
0.5
1.4
2.0
1971
CAL
-1.3
-2.7
1.4
-1.3
1972
CAL
-0.3
-2.8
0.6
-2.2
+
–
1973
-0.9
-2.7
1.0
-1.7
CAL
-0.3
-0.3
0.2
-0.1
TEX
-2.4
-2.4
0.8
-1.5
1974
TEX
-0.4
0.2
1.0
1.3
1975
TEX
-0.7
-1.7
1.0
-0.7
1976
CHA
-1.2
-2.1
1.4
-0.7
1977
CHA
-0.8
-0.9
1.1
0.3
1978
NYA
-0.0
1.1
0.4
1.5
1979
NYA
-0.2
1.5
0.8
2.3
1980
NYA
-0.3
0.0
0.7
0.8
+
–
1981
-0.3
-1.5
0.5
-1.0
NYA
-0.4
-0.4
0.1
-0.2
OAK
-1.1
-1.1
0.3
-0.8
1982
OAK
-0.1
-0.6
0.2
-0.4
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-8.9
-14.3
12.9
-1.4
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1968
CAL
19
1.6
-
-
0.0
1969
CAL
113
9.8
-
-
0.0
1970
CAL
146
14.7
1.0
0.3
1.4
1971
CAL
148
13.5
-
-
0.0
1972
CAL
79
5.0
-
-
0.0
+
–
1973
131
10.0
0.1
-
0.1
CAL
29
1.9
-
-
0.0
TEX
102
8.1
0.1
-
0.1
1974
TEX
116
9.3
1.1
0.1
1.3
1975
TEX
130
10.0
0.4
-
0.4
1976
CHA
149
14.4
0.0
-
0.0
1977
CHA
128
11.2
0.1
-
0.1
1978
NYA
70
4.0
1.0
0.6
1.9
1979
NYA
106
8.1
2.6
1.7
5.2
1980
NYA
97
7.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
+
–
1981
79
6.0
-
-
0.0
NYA
25
1.9
-
-
0.0
OAK
54
4.1
-
-
0.0
1982
OAK
33
1.8
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
1,544
126.4
6.7
2.7
10.8
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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