Red Lucas - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Red Lucas
- Decomposition of Value
*
Only includes
games
for which
Retrosheet
has released play-by-play data
(Numbers in italics indicate Retrosheet is missing some games)
Value decomposition with missing games extrapolated
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1923
NY1
-0.1
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.1
1924
BSN
0.2
0.0
-0.7
0.0
-0.5
1925
BSN
-0.2
-0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
1926
CIN
0.9
0.1
0.7
0.2
1.9
1927
CIN
0.5
-0.0
4.4
0.0
4.8
1928
CIN
0.5
0.1
2.1
0.3
2.9
1929
CIN
-1.2
0.2
2.3
0.2
1.5
1930
CIN
0.5
-0.1
1.2
0.0
1.6
1931
CIN
-1.3
-0.5
0.1
0.1
-1.6
1932
CIN
-0.5
-0.2
0.2
0.2
-0.3
1933
CIN
-0.1
-0.0
-3.3
0.0
-3.4
1934
PIT
-1.2
0.0
0.7
-0.1
-0.6
1935
PIT
0.2
-0.1
1.2
0.0
1.3
1936
PIT
-0.3
0.1
4.2
0.1
4.1
1937
PIT
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
0.0
-0.6
1938
PIT
-1.0
-0.0
0.7
0.1
-0.3
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-3.2
-0.8
13.5
1.1
10.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1923
NY1
0.1
-0.1
0.1
0.0
1924
BSN
0.1
-0.4
0.3
-0.2
1925
BSN
0.0
-0.4
0.1
-0.3
1926
CIN
0.5
2.5
1.2
3.7
1927
CIN
1.0
5.8
1.5
7.3
1928
CIN
0.6
3.5
1.3
4.8
1929
CIN
1.2
2.8
1.8
4.6
1930
CIN
0.9
2.5
1.8
4.3
1931
CIN
1.4
-0.2
1.8
1.6
1932
CIN
1.4
1.1
1.8
2.9
1933
CIN
0.9
-2.5
1.5
-1.0
1934
PIT
0.7
0.2
1.5
1.6
1935
PIT
0.6
1.9
1.1
3.1
1936
PIT
0.8
4.9
1.2
6.2
1937
PIT
0.7
0.1
1.2
1.4
1938
PIT
0.5
0.2
0.6
0.8
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
11.4
21.9
18.9
40.8
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1923
NY1
3
0.5
0.0
-
0.0
1924
BSN
33
2.4
0.3
0.1
0.4
1925
BSN
6
0.4
-
-
0.0
1926
CIN
66
10.3
3.4
2.2
6.7
1927
CIN
80
16.5
7.2
5.5
15.4
1928
CIN
39
12.2
4.0
2.6
7.9
1929
CIN
76
18.3
5.4
3.5
10.6
1930
CIN
79
16.6
4.3
2.4
8.0
1931
CIN
96
16.4
2.7
0.9
4.0
1932
CIN
76
17.0
4.4
2.5
8.1
1933
CIN
75
13.2
1.4
0.6
2.3
1934
PIT
66
12.0
1.8
0.2
2.1
1935
PIT
46
10.3
2.8
1.6
5.2
1936
PIT
68
12.3
5.0
3.8
10.7
1937
PIT
59
10.6
1.4
0.1
1.5
1938
PIT
33
5.4
0.8
0.1
1.0
------
------
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------
Career Totals
901
174.5
44.8
25.9
83.6
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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