Danny MacFayden - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Danny MacFayden
- Decomposition of Value
*
Only includes
games
for which
Retrosheet
has released play-by-play data
(Numbers in italics indicate Retrosheet is missing some games)
Value decomposition with missing games extrapolated
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1926
BOS
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
1927
BOS
-0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
1928
BOS
-0.6
0.0
-1.3
-0.7
-2.6
1929
BOS
-0.9
-0.1
-1.6
0.0
-2.6
1930
BOS
-0.9
0.0
-1.4
0.2
-2.1
1931
BOS
-1.4
0.0
2.5
0.4
1.4
+
1932
-1.4
-0.2
-2.4
-0.0
-4.0
BOS
-0.5
-0.1
-2.2
0.0
-2.8
NYA
-0.9
-0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-1.2
1933
NYA
-0.3
0.0
-0.9
-0.0
-1.2
1934
NYA
-0.4
0.0
0.9
0.0
0.6
+
1935
-1.1
-0.0
-2.3
-0.4
-3.8
BSN
-0.9
-0.0
-1.3
-0.1
-2.4
CIN
-0.2
-0.0
-1.0
-0.3
-1.4
1936
BSN
-0.8
-0.3
3.0
0.3
2.3
1937
BSN
-0.7
0.0
0.8
0.1
0.2
1938
BSN
-1.2
-0.0
2.6
0.1
1.4
1939
BSN
-0.6
-0.1
-1.5
-0.0
-2.3
1940
PIT
-0.2
0.0
-1.0
0.0
-1.2
1941
WS1
0.0
0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.5
1942
-
-
-
-
-
-
1943
BSN
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-10.8
-0.6
-3.0
0.1
-14.3
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1926
BOS
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
1927
BOS
0.3
0.5
0.7
1.1
1928
BOS
0.5
-2.1
1.5
-0.5
1929
BOS
0.6
-2.0
1.6
-0.4
1930
BOS
0.8
-1.3
1.8
0.5
1931
BOS
0.8
2.2
1.6
3.9
+
1932
0.9
-3.1
1.5
-1.6
BOS
-2.4
-2.4
0.7
-1.8
NYA
-0.7
-0.7
0.8
0.1
1933
NYA
0.2
-1.0
0.7
-0.4
1934
NYA
0.3
0.9
0.5
1.4
+
1935
0.6
-3.1
1.4
-1.7
BSN
-1.8
-1.8
1.1
-0.7
CIN
-1.3
-1.3
0.4
-1.0
1936
BSN
0.9
3.2
2.0
5.2
1937
BSN
0.8
1.0
1.7
2.7
1938
BSN
0.9
2.3
1.7
4.0
1939
BSN
0.7
-1.7
1.4
-0.3
1940
PIT
0.1
-1.1
0.7
-0.3
1941
WS1
-0.0
-0.5
0.1
-0.4
1942
-
-
-
-
-
1943
BSN
0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.0
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
8.4
-5.9
19.2
13.3
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1926
BOS
3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.2
1927
BOS
37
8.0
1.7
0.6
2.6
1928
BOS
34
11.5
0.2
-
0.2
1929
BOS
32
13.1
1.2
0.3
1.7
1930
BOS
36
15.3
1.4
0.1
1.5
1931
BOS
35
14.4
3.2
1.4
5.3
+
1932
29
11.2
0.2
-
0.2
BOS
12
4.8
0.1
-
0.1
NYA
17
6.4
0.1
-
0.1
1933
NYA
25
3.7
-
-
0.0
1934
NYA
22
4.5
1.0
0.4
1.7
+
1935
35
10.2
0.4
-
0.4
BSN
28
8.2
0.4
-
0.4
CIN
7
2.0
-
-
0.0
1936
BSN
37
16.8
5.0
3.0
9.5
1937
BSN
32
15.0
3.1
1.2
4.9
1938
BSN
29
14.4
3.4
1.6
5.7
1939
BSN
33
10.7
0.6
-
0.6
1940
PIT
35
4.1
0.1
-
0.1
1941
WS1
5
0.2
-
-
0.0
1942
-
-
-
-
-
-
1943
BSN
10
0.6
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
469
154.0
21.5
8.8
34.7
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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