Doug DeCinces - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Doug DeCinces
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1973
BAL
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.5
1974
BAL
0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1975
BAL
-1.1
0.1
0.0
0.9
-0.1
1976
BAL
0.1
0.1
0.0
-0.3
-0.1
1977
BAL
2.4
-0.1
0.0
1.4
3.7
1978
BAL
3.1
0.3
0.0
-0.0
3.4
1979
BAL
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.2
2.0
1980
BAL
1.9
0.1
0.0
1.7
3.8
1981
BAL
1.5
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
1.3
1982
CAL
2.8
0.2
0.0
1.2
4.2
1983
CAL
1.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
1.5
1984
CAL
0.9
-0.2
0.0
0.5
1.2
1985
CAL
1.7
-0.3
0.0
0.2
1.6
1986
CAL
2.0
-0.0
0.0
0.3
2.3
+
1987
-1.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-1.3
CAL
-1.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
-1.3
SLN
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
------
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
17.3
0.4
0.0
6.4
24.1
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1973
BAL
0.0
0.6
0.1
0.6
1974
BAL
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1975
BAL
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.5
1976
BAL
0.0
-0.1
1.3
1.2
1977
BAL
-0.2
3.5
1.7
5.2
1978
BAL
-0.1
3.3
1.6
4.9
1979
BAL
-0.1
1.8
1.3
3.1
1980
BAL
-0.1
3.7
1.4
5.1
1981
BAL
-0.3
1.1
1.2
2.3
1982
CAL
-0.3
3.8
1.7
5.5
1983
CAL
-0.2
1.3
1.0
2.3
1984
CAL
0.2
1.4
1.6
3.0
1985
CAL
0.1
1.6
1.3
3.0
1986
CAL
-0.4
1.9
1.5
3.4
+
1987
-0.2
-1.5
1.2
-0.2
CAL
-1.4
-1.4
1.2
-0.3
SLN
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-1.6
22.6
17.4
39.9
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1973
BAL
10
0.7
0.3
0.3
0.7
1974
BAL
1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1975
BAL
61
5.3
0.7
0.2
1.1
1976
BAL
129
13.0
0.9
-
0.9
1977
BAL
150
18.3
4.1
2.4
7.8
1978
BAL
142
18.9
5.1
3.5
10.3
1979
BAL
120
15.5
2.7
1.2
4.5
1980
BAL
145
16.6
3.7
2.3
7.1
1981
BAL
100
17.8
2.9
1.1
4.5
1982
CAL
153
21.8
6.1
4.4
12.6
1983
CAL
95
12.2
2.4
1.3
4.4
1984
CAL
146
17.7
2.9
1.3
5.0
1985
CAL
120
14.4
2.4
1.1
3.9
1986
CAL
139
17.7
2.9
1.4
5.1
+
1987
137
13.0
0.5
-
0.5
CAL
133
12.7
0.5
-
0.5
SLN
4
0.3
0.0
-
0.0
------
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------
------
Career Totals
1,648
203.0
37.7
20.5
68.4
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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