Elmer Dessens - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Elmer Dessens
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1996
PIT
0.0
-0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.1
1997
PIT
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1998
PIT
-0.2
-0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.3
1999
-
-
-
-
-
-
2000
CIN
-0.5
0.0
1.5
-0.0
1.1
2001
CIN
-0.6
-0.0
-0.5
0.0
-1.2
2002
CIN
-0.5
-0.0
0.3
0.2
-0.0
2003
ARI
-0.4
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
-0.3
+
2004
-0.2
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.2
ARI
-0.2
-0.0
0.1
-0.0
-0.1
LAN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2005
LAN
-0.2
-0.0
0.2
0.1
0.1
+
2006
-0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
KCA
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
LAN
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
+
2007
-0.1
-0.1
-0.4
0.1
-0.5
COL
-0.1
-0.1
-0.3
0.0
-0.4
MIL
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2008
ATL
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.4
2009
NYN
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.1
0.0
2010
NYN
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-2.7
-0.2
1.3
0.3
-1.3
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1996
PIT
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.4
1997
PIT
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1998
PIT
0.1
-0.2
0.6
0.4
1999
-
-
-
-
-
2000
CIN
0.9
2.0
1.1
3.1
2001
CIN
1.1
-0.1
1.6
1.5
2002
CIN
1.2
1.2
1.2
2.4
2003
ARI
1.1
0.8
1.3
2.2
+
2004
0.3
0.0
0.9
0.9
ARI
0.1
0.1
0.8
0.9
LAN
-0.1
-0.1
0.1
0.0
2005
LAN
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.6
+
2006
-0.4
-0.1
1.0
0.9
KCA
0.0
0.0
0.8
0.8
LAN
-0.2
-0.2
0.2
0.1
+
2007
0.1
-0.4
0.3
-0.2
COL
-0.3
-0.3
0.2
-0.1
MIL
-0.1
-0.1
0.1
-0.1
2008
ATL
-0.1
-0.4
0.1
-0.3
2009
NYN
-0.0
-0.0
0.1
0.1
2010
NYN
-0.1
0.1
0.4
0.5
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
4.4
3.1
9.4
12.5
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1996
PIT
15
1.3
0.2
0.1
0.3
1997
PIT
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
1998
PIT
43
3.5
0.2
-
0.2
1999
-
-
-
-
-
-
2000
CIN
40
9.0
3.7
2.6
7.5
2001
CIN
35
12.1
1.1
-
1.1
2002
CIN
31
10.0
1.7
0.6
2.6
2003
ARI
36
11.0
2.5
1.2
4.2
+
2004
50
5.4
0.5
0.1
0.6
ARI
38
4.8
0.5
0.1
0.6
LAN
12
0.5
0.0
-
0.0
2005
LAN
28
2.4
0.3
0.1
0.5
+
2006
62
4.6
0.4
0.0
0.5
KCA
43
3.6
0.4
0.0
0.4
LAN
19
1.0
0.0
-
0.0
+
2007
17
1.5
-
-
0.0
COL
5
1.2
-
-
0.0
MIL
12
0.3
-
-
0.0
2008
ATL
4
0.2
-
-
0.0
2009
NYN
28
0.6
0.1
-
0.1
2010
NYN
53
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.5
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Career Totals
445
63.8
11.0
4.7
18.0
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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