Brian Downing - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Brian Downing
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1973
CHA
-0.5
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.7
1974
CHA
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.6
1975
CHA
0.2
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.6
1976
CHA
0.4
0.1
0.0
-0.1
0.4
1977
CHA
0.9
-0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.6
1978
CAL
-0.1
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.2
1979
CAL
2.6
0.0
0.0
-0.2
2.4
1980
CAL
0.2
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
-0.1
1981
CAL
0.6
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.4
1982
CAL
2.9
0.3
0.0
0.1
3.3
1983
CAL
1.1
0.0
0.0
-0.4
0.8
1984
CAL
2.4
-0.4
0.0
-0.0
2.0
1985
CAL
2.5
-0.2
0.0
-0.3
2.1
1986
CAL
3.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
3.5
1987
CAL
3.3
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
3.0
1988
CAL
2.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.2
1989
CAL
1.5
-0.4
0.0
0.0
1.0
1990
CAL
1.3
-0.1
0.0
0.0
1.2
1991
TEX
1.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
1.9
1992
TEX
1.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1.8
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CAREER (reg. season)
28.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.7
27.1
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1973
CHA
-0.1
-0.8
0.2
-0.6
1974
CHA
0.1
0.7
0.8
1.5
1975
CHA
0.4
1.0
1.0
2.0
1976
CHA
0.5
0.9
0.9
1.8
1977
CHA
0.1
0.7
0.5
1.2
1978
CAL
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.7
1979
CAL
0.6
3.0
1.3
4.3
1980
CAL
0.0
-0.1
0.3
0.2
1981
CAL
-0.2
0.2
1.1
1.3
1982
CAL
-0.6
2.7
1.8
4.5
1983
CAL
-0.6
0.2
1.2
1.4
1984
CAL
-0.9
1.1
1.8
2.9
1985
CAL
-0.5
1.6
1.8
3.4
1986
CAL
-0.5
3.0
1.8
4.8
1987
CAL
-0.3
2.7
1.7
4.4
1988
CAL
-0.3
1.8
1.5
3.3
1989
CAL
0.1
1.1
1.6
2.7
1990
CAL
0.0
1.2
0.9
2.1
1991
TEX
-0.4
1.5
1.1
2.7
1992
TEX
-0.2
1.6
1.0
2.5
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CAREER (reg. season)
-2.2
24.9
23.3
48.2
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1973
CHA
34
1.7
-
-
0.0
1974
CHA
108
8.9
1.7
0.9
3.4
1975
CHA
138
11.5
2.0
1.0
4.0
1976
CHA
104
8.9
1.5
0.6
2.7
1977
CHA
69
5.2
1.3
0.8
2.9
1978
CAL
132
10.1
1.8
0.9
3.6
1979
CAL
148
14.9
4.2
2.9
9.8
1980
CAL
30
2.8
0.3
0.1
0.5
1981
CAL
93
14.7
1.2
0.2
1.5
1982
CAL
158
22.1
4.2
2.4
7.7
1983
CAL
113
13.3
1.3
0.1
1.4
1984
CAL
156
19.3
2.4
0.6
3.3
1985
CAL
149
20.3
4.7
2.9
9.1
1986
CAL
152
22.0
5.2
3.3
10.1
1987
CAL
155
15.9
3.5
1.8
6.2
1988
CAL
135
12.9
3.5
2.0
6.5
1989
CAL
142
13.4
3.2
1.6
5.5
1990
CAL
96
7.5
1.7
0.8
2.9
1991
TEX
123
9.9
2.7
1.6
5.1
1992
TEX
107
8.4
2.1
1.2
3.9
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Career Totals
2,342
243.8
48.5
25.6
90.0
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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