Scott Downs - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Scott Downs
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
+
2000
-0.6
-0.0
-1.1
0.0
-1.7
CHN
-0.5
-0.0
-1.0
0.0
-1.6
MON
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
2001
-
-
-
-
-
-
2002
-
-
-
-
-
-
2003
MON
-0.0
0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.6
2004
MON
-0.4
-0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.7
2005
TOR
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
2006
TOR
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
2007
TOR
0.0
0.0
1.0
0.1
1.0
2008
TOR
0.0
0.0
1.7
0.0
1.7
2009
TOR
-0.0
0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.3
2010
TOR
0.0
0.0
1.4
0.1
1.5
2011
ANA
0.0
0.0
1.5
0.0
1.5
2012
ANA
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.0
0.6
+
2013
0.0
0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.4
ANA
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.2
ATL
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.2
+
2014
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.0
0.2
CHA
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.1
KCA
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
------
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-1.1
-0.0
5.1
0.2
4.2
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
+
2000
0.4
-1.3
0.7
-0.6
CHN
-1.2
-1.2
0.7
-0.6
MON
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2001
-
-
-
-
-
2002
-
-
-
-
-
2003
MON
-0.1
-0.7
0.1
-0.6
2004
MON
0.4
-0.3
0.6
0.3
2005
TOR
0.1
0.0
0.7
0.7
2006
TOR
-0.1
-0.1
0.5
0.5
2007
TOR
-0.2
0.8
0.7
1.5
2008
TOR
-0.3
1.4
0.8
2.3
2009
TOR
-0.2
0.1
0.7
0.8
2010
TOR
-0.3
1.2
0.8
2.0
2011
ANA
-0.3
1.2
0.8
2.0
2012
ANA
-0.2
0.3
0.6
0.9
+
2013
-0.2
0.1
0.6
0.7
ANA
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.4
ATL
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3
+
2014
-0.1
0.1
0.3
0.4
CHA
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
KCA
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-1.2
3.0
7.9
10.9
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
+
2000
19
5.0
0.3
-
0.3
CHN
18
4.8
0.3
-
0.3
MON
1
0.2
-
-
0.0
2001
-
-
-
-
-
-
2002
-
-
-
-
-
-
2003
MON
1
0.3
-
-
0.0
2004
MON
12
4.2
0.1
-
0.1
2005
TOR
26
4.7
0.9
0.2
1.1
2006
TOR
59
2.9
0.3
-
0.3
2007
TOR
81
4.0
1.7
1.0
3.3
2008
TOR
66
4.8
2.1
1.2
3.9
2009
TOR
48
3.4
0.8
0.2
1.1
2010
TOR
67
4.2
1.8
1.1
3.4
2011
ANA
60
4.6
2.0
1.2
3.8
2012
ANA
57
3.4
1.5
0.9
2.8
+
2013
68
3.0
0.7
0.2
0.9
ANA
43
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
ATL
25
1.1
0.4
0.2
0.6
+
2014
55
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.6
CHA
38
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.4
KCA
17
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.2
------
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Career Totals
619
45.9
12.6
6.1
21.7
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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