Alex Ferguson - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
Home
Alex Ferguson
- Decomposition of Value
*
Missing player games extrapolated
(Numbers in italics include some games for which Retrosheet is missing play-by-play data.)
Value decomposition with missing games excluded
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1918
NYA
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
1919
-
-
-
-
-
-
1920
-
-
-
-
-
-
1921
NYA
-0.2
-0.0
0.1
-0.1
-0.2
1922
BOS
-0.8
-0.0
-1.2
0.1
-1.9
1923
BOS
-1.2
-0.0
-1.9
0.2
-2.8
1924
BOS
-1.0
0.0
1.2
-0.0
0.2
+
1925
-0.6
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.8
BOS
-0.1
0.0
-0.8
-0.1
-1.0
NYA
-0.2
0.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.7
WS1
-0.4
0.0
1.1
-0.1
0.6
1926
WS1
-0.0
0.0
-0.8
0.0
-0.8
1927
PHI
-1.1
-0.2
-1.5
-0.2
-3.0
1928
PHI
-0.7
-0.0
-1.6
-0.1
-2.4
+
1929
-0.1
0.0
-0.9
0.1
-0.9
BRO
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
PHI
-0.1
-0.0
-0.7
0.1
-0.7
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-5.7
-0.2
-6.6
-0.1
-12.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1918
NYA
0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
1919
-
-
-
-
-
1920
-
-
-
-
-
1921
NYA
0.1
-0.0
0.3
0.3
1922
BOS
0.7
-1.2
1.3
0.1
1923
BOS
0.6
-2.3
1.4
-0.9
1924
BOS
0.6
0.9
1.9
2.7
+
1925
0.3
-0.5
0.9
0.3
BOS
-0.6
-0.6
0.1
-0.5
NYA
-0.7
-0.7
0.4
-0.2
WS1
0.7
0.7
0.3
1.1
1926
WS1
0.1
-0.8
0.4
-0.4
1927
PHI
0.8
-2.2
1.4
-0.8
1928
PHI
0.3
-2.0
1.0
-1.0
+
1929
0.0
-0.8
0.3
-0.6
BRO
-0.2
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
PHI
-0.6
-0.6
0.2
-0.4
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
3.6
-8.9
8.8
-0.2
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1918
NYA
1
0.0
-
-
0.0
1919
-
-
-
-
-
-
1920
-
-
-
-
-
-
1921
NYA
17
2.2
0.2
-
0.2
1922
BOS
39
10.5
1.1
0.4
1.7
1923
BOS
34
10.1
1.0
0.3
1.4
1924
BOS
41
14.9
2.6
0.7
3.6
+
1925
33
7.2
0.7
0.4
1.4
BOS
5
0.8
-
-
0.0
NYA
21
2.2
-
-
0.0
WS1
7
4.1
0.7
0.4
1.4
1926
WS1
19
2.1
-
-
0.0
1927
PHI
31
10.9
-
-
0.0
1928
PHI
34
7.0
-
-
0.0
+
1929
8
1.6
-
-
0.0
BRO
3
0.1
-
-
0.0
PHI
5
1.4
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
257
66.4
5.6
1.8
8.3
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
Home