Ken Forsch - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
Home
Ken Forsch
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1970
HOU
-0.2
-0.0
0.1
-0.0
-0.1
1971
HOU
-0.6
-0.1
1.4
-0.1
0.6
1972
HOU
-0.5
-0.4
-1.2
-0.2
-2.3
1973
HOU
-1.0
0.0
-0.3
-0.1
-1.4
1974
HOU
-0.1
0.0
0.8
0.0
0.8
1975
HOU
-0.3
-0.0
-0.3
0.1
-0.6
1976
HOU
-0.1
-0.0
0.9
0.1
0.9
1977
HOU
-0.1
0.0
1.1
-0.0
1.0
1978
HOU
-0.1
-0.1
1.2
0.0
1.0
1979
HOU
-0.6
0.0
1.0
0.1
0.6
1980
HOU
-0.4
-0.2
0.1
0.1
-0.4
1981
CAL
0.0
0.0
1.9
-0.0
1.9
1982
CAL
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.2
1983
CAL
0.0
0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.3
1984
CAL
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
1985
-
-
-
-
-
-
1986
CAL
0.0
0.0
-0.6
-0.0
-0.6
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-4.1
-0.8
7.1
-0.2
2.0
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1970
HOU
0.1
-0.0
0.1
0.1
1971
HOU
0.9
1.5
1.2
2.7
1972
HOU
0.3
-2.0
1.1
-0.9
1973
HOU
0.4
-0.9
1.5
0.5
1974
HOU
-0.1
0.7
1.0
1.7
1975
HOU
0.2
-0.3
0.8
0.5
1976
HOU
0.0
0.9
0.8
1.7
1977
HOU
0.2
1.2
0.8
1.9
1978
HOU
0.4
1.4
0.9
2.3
1979
HOU
1.0
1.6
1.1
2.6
1980
HOU
1.1
0.6
1.4
2.1
1981
CAL
0.6
2.5
1.1
3.5
1982
CAL
0.2
0.5
1.6
2.0
1983
CAL
0.3
0.5
1.5
2.0
1984
CAL
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
1985
-
-
-
-
-
1986
CAL
-0.1
-0.7
0.2
-0.5
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
5.6
7.6
15.1
22.8
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1970
HOU
4
1.2
0.1
-
0.1
1971
HOU
33
10.1
2.7
1.5
4.9
1972
HOU
30
8.5
-
-
0.0
1973
HOU
46
10.6
0.8
-
0.8
1974
HOU
70
6.3
2.1
1.1
3.8
1975
HOU
34
4.9
0.2
-
0.2
1976
HOU
52
5.6
2.3
1.5
4.5
1977
HOU
42
5.4
1.8
1.0
3.3
1978
HOU
52
7.3
2.7
1.7
5.3
1979
HOU
26
9.4
2.5
1.5
4.7
1980
HOU
32
12.7
1.8
0.4
2.3
1981
CAL
20
13.9
5.6
4.0
11.7
1982
CAL
37
12.6
2.3
0.7
3.3
1983
CAL
31
11.7
2.1
0.7
3.2
1984
CAL
2
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.4
1985
-
-
-
-
-
-
1986
CAL
10
0.7
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
521
121.6
27.3
14.2
48.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
Home