Jeremy Guthrie - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jeremy Guthrie
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2004
CLE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2005
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2006
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2007
BAL
-0.1
-0.0
0.4
0.1
0.4
2008
BAL
-0.0
-0.0
0.5
0.1
0.6
2009
BAL
-0.0
0.0
-1.1
0.2
-1.0
2010
BAL
-0.1
-0.0
1.1
0.1
1.1
2011
BAL
-0.0
0.0
-0.9
0.2
-0.7
+
2012
-0.5
-0.0
-1.5
-0.0
-2.1
COL
-0.5
-0.0
-1.9
0.0
-2.4
KCA
0.0
0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.4
2013
KCA
0.0
-0.0
-1.7
0.2
-1.5
2014
KCA
-0.1
0.0
-0.4
-0.1
-0.5
2015
KCA
-0.0
0.0
-2.9
0.0
-3.0
2016
-
-
-
-
-
-
2017
WAS
0.0
0.0
-0.7
-0.0
-0.7
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------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.9
-0.1
-7.4
0.8
-7.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
2004
CLE
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
2005
CLE
-0.1
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
2006
CLE
-0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
2007
BAL
0.3
0.7
1.2
1.9
2008
BAL
0.4
1.0
1.4
2.3
2009
BAL
-0.0
-1.0
1.7
0.8
2010
BAL
0.5
1.6
1.6
3.2
2011
BAL
0.1
-0.6
1.8
1.2
+
2012
0.3
-1.8
1.5
-0.3
COL
-2.3
-2.3
0.8
-1.5
KCA
0.5
0.5
0.7
1.2
2013
KCA
-0.2
-1.7
1.8
0.0
2014
KCA
0.1
-0.4
1.7
1.3
2015
KCA
-0.4
-3.4
1.4
-2.0
2016
-
-
-
-
-
2017
WAS
-0.1
-0.8
0.1
-0.7
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
0.9
-6.7
14.1
7.4
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2004
CLE
6
0.2
0.0
-
0.0
2005
CLE
1
0.1
-
-
0.0
2006
CLE
9
0.5
0.0
-
0.0
2007
BAL
32
8.3
1.3
0.3
1.8
2008
BAL
31
10.5
2.4
1.0
3.9
2009
BAL
34
11.7
0.4
-
0.4
2010
BAL
32
11.7
2.2
0.8
3.5
2011
BAL
35
12.1
0.6
-
0.6
+
2012
38
10.0
1.5
0.8
2.7
COL
24
4.9
-
-
0.0
KCA
14
5.1
1.5
0.8
2.7
2013
KCA
33
12.2
0.9
0.0
1.0
2014
KCA
33
12.7
2.3
0.7
3.3
2015
KCA
30
8.2
-
-
0.0
2016
-
-
-
-
-
-
2017
WAS
1
0.1
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
315
98.3
11.6
3.7
17.2
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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