Matt Herges - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Matt Herges
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1999
LAN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.8
-0.0
-0.8
2000
LAN
-0.4
-0.0
0.1
0.0
-0.3
2001
LAN
0.0
-0.0
0.4
0.0
0.4
2002
MON
0.0
-0.0
-1.2
-0.0
-1.2
+
2003
-0.0
-0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.4
SDN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.4
0.0
-0.3
SFN
-0.0
-0.0
0.8
-0.1
0.7
2004
SFN
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.1
0.5
+
2005
0.0
0.0
-0.9
-0.0
-0.9
ARI
0.0
0.0
-0.6
0.0
-0.6
SFN
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.3
2006
FLO
0.0
0.0
-0.9
-0.0
-0.9
2007
COL
-0.0
-0.0
1.1
-0.0
1.1
2008
COL
-0.0
-0.0
-1.1
-0.2
-1.3
+
2009
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.0
CLE
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
COL
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.0
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.5
-0.0
-2.1
-0.4
-3.1
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1999
LAN
-0.0
-0.9
0.2
-0.6
2000
LAN
0.1
-0.2
0.9
0.7
2001
LAN
-0.4
-0.0
1.1
1.1
2002
MON
-0.2
-1.4
0.9
-0.6
+
2003
-0.2
0.1
0.7
0.9
SDN
-0.4
-0.4
0.4
-0.0
SFN
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.9
2004
SFN
-0.5
0.0
1.0
1.1
+
2005
-0.0
-0.9
0.2
-0.7
ARI
-0.6
-0.6
0.1
-0.5
SFN
-0.3
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
2006
FLO
-0.2
-1.1
0.6
-0.5
2007
COL
-0.1
1.0
0.3
1.3
2008
COL
-0.2
-1.5
0.6
-0.9
+
2009
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.1
CLE
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.1
COL
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-1.9
-4.9
6.9
2.0
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1999
LAN
17
0.8
0.0
-
0.0
2000
LAN
59
5.0
1.2
0.4
1.7
2001
LAN
75
5.6
1.0
-
1.0
2002
MON
62
3.5
0.1
-
0.1
+
2003
67
4.0
1.2
0.7
2.2
SDN
40
2.0
0.3
0.1
0.5
SFN
27
2.0
0.9
0.5
1.7
2004
SFN
70
5.1
0.7
0.0
0.8
+
2005
28
0.7
0.0
-
0.0
ARI
7
0.1
-
-
0.0
SFN
21
0.6
0.0
-
0.0
2006
FLO
66
2.7
0.2
-
0.2
2007
COL
35
2.1
1.1
0.8
2.3
2008
COL
58
2.7
0.1
-
0.1
+
2009
30
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.2
CLE
21
1.0
0.1
-
0.1
COL
9
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
567
33.3
5.8
1.9
8.6
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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