Alex Kellner - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Alex Kellner
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1948
PHA
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
1949
PHA
-0.6
-0.0
-0.1
-0.3
-1.0
1950
PHA
-1.1
-0.0
-1.5
-0.1
-2.7
1951
PHA
-0.6
-0.1
-1.0
-0.1
-1.9
1952
PHA
-0.7
0.0
-0.6
0.0
-1.2
1953
PHA
-0.6
0.0
1.6
-0.0
1.0
1954
PHA
-0.7
0.0
-2.0
0.1
-2.5
1955
KC1
-0.5
-0.0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.8
1956
KC1
-0.3
-0.0
-0.7
0.0
-0.9
1957
KC1
-0.0
-0.0
-0.8
-0.0
-0.8
+
1958
-0.1
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.5
CIN
0.0
0.0
0.8
0.0
0.9
KC1
-0.1
-0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.4
1959
SLN
-0.1
-0.1
-0.4
-0.0
-0.6
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CAREER (reg. season)
-5.3
-0.2
-5.0
-0.7
-11.2
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1948
PHA
0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
1949
PHA
0.7
-0.3
2.0
1.7
1950
PHA
0.2
-2.5
1.9
-0.6
1951
PHA
0.4
-1.5
1.6
0.2
1952
PHA
0.7
-0.5
1.9
1.4
1953
PHA
1.4
2.4
1.3
3.7
1954
PHA
0.2
-2.3
1.5
-0.8
1955
KC1
0.6
-0.2
1.3
1.1
1956
KC1
0.2
-0.7
0.8
0.1
1957
KC1
0.4
-0.4
1.0
0.6
+
1958
0.6
1.1
0.8
1.9
CIN
1.4
1.4
0.6
2.0
KC1
-0.3
-0.3
0.2
-0.0
1959
SLN
0.0
-0.5
0.3
-0.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
5.6
-5.6
14.7
9.1
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1948
PHA
13
0.4
-
-
0.0
1949
PHA
38
16.0
2.6
0.7
3.7
1950
PHA
36
13.5
-
-
0.0
1951
PHA
33
13.0
0.5
-
0.5
1952
PHA
34
15.4
1.7
-
1.7
1953
PHA
25
12.3
3.3
1.9
6.1
1954
PHA
27
10.9
-
-
0.0
1955
KC1
30
11.4
1.9
0.6
2.8
1956
KC1
21
6.5
0.9
0.4
1.5
1957
KC1
28
8.8
1.1
0.2
1.4
+
1958
26
7.2
2.1
1.5
4.4
CIN
18
5.5
2.1
1.5
4.4
KC1
8
1.6
-
-
0.0
1959
SLN
12
1.8
0.1
-
0.1
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Career Totals
323
117.2
14.2
5.4
22.3
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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