George Kelly - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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George Kelly
- Decomposition of Value
*
Missing player games extrapolated
(Numbers in italics include some games for which Retrosheet is missing play-by-play data.)
Value decomposition with missing games excluded
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1915
-
-
-
-
-
-
1916
NY1
-1.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
-1.1
+
1917
-0.6
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.6
NY1
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
PIT
-0.4
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.5
1918
-
-
-
-
-
-
1919
NY1
-0.3
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
-0.5
1920
NY1
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.2
2.0
1921
NY1
4.4
0.3
0.0
1.0
5.7
1922
NY1
1.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
1.2
1923
NY1
3.2
-0.1
0.0
0.5
3.6
1924
NY1
6.8
0.2
0.0
0.1
7.1
1925
NY1
2.3
0.0
0.0
1.8
4.1
1926
NY1
1.0
-0.2
0.0
0.2
1.0
1927
CIN
-0.2
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.6
1928
CIN
1.3
-0.2
0.0
0.7
1.8
1929
CIN
-1.8
0.3
0.0
0.6
-1.0
+
1930
-1.9
-0.3
0.0
0.1
-2.1
CHN
-0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.0
-0.4
CIN
-1.5
-0.2
0.0
0.0
-1.7
1931
-
-
-
-
-
-
1932
BRO
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.4
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
16.2
0.1
0.0
4.7
21.0
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1915
-
-
-
-
-
1916
NY1
0.0
-1.1
0.2
-0.9
+
1917
-0.0
-0.6
0.1
-0.6
NY1
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
PIT
-0.6
-0.6
0.1
-0.5
1918
-
-
-
-
-
1919
NY1
-0.2
-0.7
0.3
-0.4
1920
NY1
-0.7
1.2
1.7
2.9
1921
NY1
-0.7
5.0
1.7
6.7
1922
NY1
-0.8
0.4
1.5
2.0
1923
NY1
-0.8
2.8
1.5
4.3
1924
NY1
-0.9
6.1
1.8
7.9
1925
NY1
-0.1
4.0
2.0
6.0
1926
NY1
-0.7
0.4
1.4
1.8
1927
CIN
-0.3
-0.9
0.7
-0.2
1928
CIN
-0.8
1.0
1.3
2.2
1929
CIN
-1.2
-2.3
1.6
-0.6
+
1930
-0.8
-2.9
0.9
-2.0
CHN
-0.7
-0.7
0.4
-0.3
CIN
-2.2
-2.2
0.5
-1.6
1931
-
-
-
-
-
1932
BRO
-0.4
0.0
0.5
0.5
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-8.5
12.6
17.1
29.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1915
-
-
-
-
-
-
1916
NY1
49
1.3
-
-
0.0
+
1917
19
0.4
-
-
0.0
NY1
11
0.1
-
-
0.0
PIT
8
0.3
-
-
0.0
1918
-
-
-
-
-
-
1919
NY1
32
2.7
-
-
0.0
1920
NY1
155
18.7
3.0
1.2
4.9
1921
NY1
149
21.7
6.1
4.3
12.5
1922
NY1
151
18.2
2.4
0.7
3.5
1923
NY1
145
16.8
3.6
2.1
6.7
1924
NY1
144
22.8
7.0
5.0
14.6
1925
NY1
147
22.9
5.6
3.6
11.0
1926
NY1
136
15.8
1.9
0.4
2.4
1927
CIN
61
6.6
-
-
0.0
1928
CIN
116
13.4
1.5
0.5
2.3
1929
CIN
147
16.5
0.1
-
0.1
+
1930
90
8.2
-
-
0.0
CHN
39
3.5
-
-
0.0
CIN
51
4.6
-
-
0.0
1931
-
-
-
-
-
-
1932
BRO
64
5.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
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Career Totals
1,605
191.1
31.6
17.9
58.4
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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