Matt Keough - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Matt Keough
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1977
OAK
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
-0.2
1978
OAK
0.0
-0.0
1.1
-0.0
1.1
1979
OAK
0.0
0.0
-1.4
-0.0
-1.5
1980
OAK
0.0
0.0
0.8
-0.1
0.7
1981
OAK
0.0
0.0
0.5
-0.1
0.5
1982
OAK
0.0
0.0
-4.6
0.1
-4.5
+
1983
0.0
0.0
-2.0
0.0
-2.0
NYA
0.0
0.0
-1.2
-0.0
-1.2
OAK
0.0
0.0
-0.8
0.0
-0.8
1984
-
-
-
-
-
-
1985
SLN
-0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
+
1986
-0.0
-0.0
-0.4
-0.1
-0.5
CHN
0.0
-0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.4
HOU
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.2
-0.2
-6.0
-0.3
-6.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1977
OAK
-0.0
-0.2
0.3
0.1
1978
OAK
0.2
1.3
1.3
2.6
1979
OAK
-0.4
-1.8
1.3
-0.5
1980
OAK
0.4
1.0
1.7
2.8
1981
OAK
0.2
0.6
1.1
1.7
1982
OAK
-0.9
-5.4
1.8
-3.6
+
1983
-0.4
-2.3
0.8
-1.6
NYA
-1.4
-1.4
0.4
-1.0
OAK
-0.9
-0.9
0.3
-0.6
1984
-
-
-
-
-
1985
SLN
0.1
-0.0
0.1
0.0
+
1986
0.1
-0.4
0.4
0.0
CHN
-0.4
-0.4
0.2
-0.2
HOU
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.7
-7.3
8.9
1.6
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1977
OAK
8
2.1
0.0
-
0.0
1978
OAK
33
11.4
1.8
0.6
2.7
1979
OAK
30
9.4
-
-
0.0
1980
OAK
34
14.8
2.9
1.2
4.6
1981
OAK
19
12.6
2.6
1.0
4.2
1982
OAK
34
12.3
-
-
0.0
+
1983
26
4.5
-
-
0.0
NYA
12
2.8
-
-
0.0
OAK
14
1.8
-
-
0.0
1984
-
-
-
-
-
-
1985
SLN
4
0.5
0.0
-
0.0
+
1986
29
3.0
0.3
0.1
0.5
CHN
19
1.2
-
-
0.0
HOU
10
1.9
0.3
0.1
0.5
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Career Totals
217
70.6
7.6
2.9
12.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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