Mark Kotsay - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Mark Kotsay
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1997
FLO
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.0
1998
FLO
-2.9
0.1
0.0
0.8
-2.0
1999
FLO
-2.4
0.2
0.0
0.5
-1.7
2000
FLO
-0.2
0.4
0.0
1.9
2.0
2001
SDN
1.6
0.2
0.0
1.3
3.0
2002
SDN
0.5
-0.1
0.0
-1.3
-1.0
2003
SDN
-0.9
0.1
0.0
-0.5
-1.4
2004
OAK
-0.1
-0.0
0.0
1.3
1.3
2005
OAK
-0.3
-0.3
0.0
0.8
0.2
2006
OAK
-0.5
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
-1.0
2007
OAK
-1.2
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-1.6
+
2008
-1.3
-0.3
0.0
-0.4
-2.0
ATL
-1.4
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
-1.8
BOS
0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
-0.2
+
2009
-1.4
-0.0
0.0
0.4
-1.0
BOS
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.2
CHA
-1.1
-0.1
0.0
0.4
-0.8
2010
CHA
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
-0.3
-0.9
2011
MIL
0.2
0.4
0.0
0.3
0.9
2012
SDN
-0.2
-0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.1
2013
SDN
-1.4
-0.2
0.0
-0.4
-2.0
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-11.4
-0.2
0.0
4.1
-7.4
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1997
FLO
0.0
-0.0
0.1
0.1
1998
FLO
-0.7
-2.8
1.8
-1.0
1999
FLO
-0.8
-2.5
1.6
-0.9
2000
FLO
-0.8
1.3
1.8
3.1
2001
SDN
-0.0
3.0
1.3
4.4
2002
SDN
-0.0
-1.0
1.8
0.8
2003
SDN
-0.0
-1.4
1.5
0.1
2004
OAK
0.1
1.3
1.7
3.0
2005
OAK
0.1
0.3
1.8
2.1
2006
OAK
0.1
-0.8
1.5
0.7
2007
OAK
-0.0
-1.6
0.6
-1.0
+
2008
-0.2
-2.2
1.2
-1.0
ATL
-1.9
-1.9
1.0
-1.0
BOS
-0.3
-0.3
0.3
-0.0
+
2009
-0.3
-1.3
0.6
-0.7
BOS
-0.3
-0.3
0.2
-0.2
CHA
-0.9
-0.9
0.4
-0.5
2010
CHA
-0.3
-1.2
0.9
-0.4
2011
MIL
-0.0
0.9
0.7
1.6
2012
SDN
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.5
2013
SDN
0.2
-1.8
0.4
-1.4
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-2.5
-9.8
19.8
10.0
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1997
FLO
14
1.4
0.1
-
0.1
1998
FLO
154
17.7
0.6
-
0.6
1999
FLO
148
15.7
-
-
0.0
2000
FLO
151
19.3
2.3
0.6
3.3
2001
SDN
119
15.0
3.8
2.5
7.6
2002
SDN
153
18.3
1.8
0.6
2.7
2003
SDN
128
15.5
0.7
-
0.7
2004
OAK
148
18.4
3.1
1.5
5.3
2005
OAK
139
19.1
1.8
0.2
2.0
2006
OAK
129
16.1
0.3
-
0.3
2007
OAK
56
5.9
-
-
0.0
+
2008
110
13.1
-
-
0.0
ATL
88
9.7
-
-
0.0
BOS
22
3.3
-
-
0.0
+
2009
67
5.1
-
-
0.0
BOS
27
1.7
-
-
0.0
CHA
40
3.5
-
-
0.0
2010
CHA
107
7.1
-
-
0.0
2011
MIL
104
7.2
0.9
0.4
1.6
2012
SDN
81
4.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
2013
SDN
101
2.8
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
1,909
201.6
15.9
5.8
24.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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