John Lackey - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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John Lackey
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2002
ANA
0.0
0.0
1.1
0.0
1.1
2003
ANA
-0.0
-0.0
-2.9
-0.1
-3.0
2004
ANA
-0.0
-0.0
1.2
-0.0
1.2
2005
ANA
-0.1
-0.0
3.5
0.1
3.6
2006
ANA
-0.1
0.0
2.9
0.2
2.9
2007
ANA
-0.0
0.0
4.1
-0.1
4.0
2008
ANA
-0.1
-0.0
1.3
-0.1
1.0
2009
ANA
-0.1
-0.0
2.6
-0.0
2.5
2010
BOS
-0.0
0.0
-0.7
0.0
-0.7
2011
BOS
0.0
0.0
-2.2
0.2
-2.0
2012
-
-
-
-
-
-
2013
BOS
-0.2
-0.0
1.0
-0.0
0.7
+
2014
-0.2
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.8
BOS
0.0
0.0
1.1
0.1
1.2
SLN
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.4
2015
SLN
-0.9
-0.0
2.4
-0.1
1.3
2016
CHN
-1.1
-0.0
-0.4
0.1
-1.4
2017
CHN
-1.2
-0.0
-0.7
0.1
-1.8
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CAREER (reg. season)
-4.2
-0.1
14.2
0.3
10.3
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2002
ANA
0.1
1.2
0.8
2.0
2003
ANA
0.2
-2.8
1.8
-1.1
2004
ANA
0.2
1.4
1.7
3.1
2005
ANA
0.2
3.8
1.5
5.4
2006
ANA
0.3
3.2
1.6
4.8
2007
ANA
0.2
4.3
1.7
6.0
2008
ANA
0.2
1.3
1.3
2.5
2009
ANA
0.3
2.7
1.3
4.0
2010
BOS
0.2
-0.5
1.6
1.1
2011
BOS
0.2
-1.8
1.5
-0.3
2012
-
-
-
-
-
2013
BOS
0.3
1.0
1.5
2.5
+
2014
0.4
1.2
1.5
2.6
BOS
1.3
1.3
1.0
2.3
SLN
-0.1
-0.1
0.4
0.3
2015
SLN
1.1
2.5
1.7
4.1
2016
CHN
1.0
-0.4
1.3
0.9
2017
CHN
1.1
-0.7
1.5
0.8
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CAREER (reg. season)
6.1
16.4
22.3
38.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2002
ANA
18
7.6
2.4
1.4
4.5
2003
ANA
33
11.5
-
-
0.0
2004
ANA
33
13.0
3.5
1.8
6.2
2005
ANA
33
13.7
4.9
3.3
9.8
2006
ANA
33
13.3
5.1
3.5
10.3
2007
ANA
33
14.4
5.4
3.7
10.9
2008
ANA
24
10.1
1.7
0.7
2.7
2009
ANA
27
12.0
4.3
2.8
8.4
2010
BOS
34
11.9
1.5
0.2
1.8
2011
BOS
28
9.9
-
-
0.0
2012
-
-
-
-
-
-
2013
BOS
29
13.0
3.3
1.6
5.7
+
2014
31
11.5
2.2
1.0
3.7
BOS
21
7.9
1.9
0.9
3.3
SLN
10
3.6
0.3
0.1
0.4
2015
SLN
33
14.6
4.4
2.6
8.3
2016
CHN
29
10.5
1.4
0.1
1.6
2017
CHN
32
10.5
0.4
-
0.4
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Career Totals
450
177.6
40.4
22.6
74.4
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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