Alex Metzler - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Alex Metzler
- Decomposition of Value
*
Missing player games extrapolated
(Numbers in italics include some games for which Retrosheet is missing play-by-play data.)
Value decomposition with missing games excluded
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1925
CHN
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.1
1926
PHA
-0.3
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
1927
CHA
0.5
0.4
0.0
0.4
1.2
1928
CHA
1.2
0.5
0.0
-0.7
1.0
1929
CHA
-0.8
0.3
0.0
1.5
1.0
+
1930
-1.5
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-1.6
CHA
-0.5
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.6
SLA
-1.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
-1.0
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-1.1
1.4
0.0
1.3
1.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1925
CHN
-0.1
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
1926
PHA
-0.1
-0.0
0.2
0.2
1927
CHA
-0.4
0.8
2.0
2.8
1928
CHA
-0.7
0.3
2.0
2.3
1929
CHA
-0.9
0.1
2.0
2.2
+
1930
-0.5
-2.1
1.0
-1.1
CHA
-0.6
-0.6
0.3
-0.4
SLA
-1.4
-1.4
0.7
-0.7
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-2.6
-1.0
7.3
6.2
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1925
CHN
9
0.9
-
-
0.0
1926
PHA
20
2.3
0.3
0.1
0.4
1927
CHA
134
20.2
2.6
0.6
3.5
1928
CHA
139
19.6
1.7
0.2
1.9
1929
CHA
146
20.8
1.3
0.1
1.4
+
1930
111
8.5
-
-
0.0
CHA
56
2.0
-
-
0.0
SLA
55
6.5
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
559
72.3
5.9
0.9
7.3
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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